Hallador Energy (HNRG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNRG - Hallador Energy Company
$14.50
0.85 (6.23%)
â˛
5d:
+7.25%
30d:
-12.23%
90d:
-11.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HNRG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 46.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HNRG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 46.3% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.50
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNRG is currently trading at $14.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.01 to $16.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 66.9) compared to its historical average (21.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 46.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNRG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.19, while resistance sits at $15.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+93.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNRG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.19, while resistance sits at $15.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+93.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.01 -
$16.01
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 93.1% below Wall St target ($28.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 46.3% growth expectation is conservative given 1408% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.01 -
$16.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.19
Resistance Level
$15.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
66.91
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(+93.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1407.7%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+46.3% premium
PE vs Historical
66.9 vs 21.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+46.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.21
(+46%)
2-Year Target
$31.04
(+114%)
3-Year Target
$45.40
(+213%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 67â21)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.52
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.85
Bull Case
$17.51
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$14.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$11.09
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 08, 2026 9:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNRG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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