Hallador Energy (HNRG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.16
-0.43 (-4.06%)
▼
5d:
-4.51%
30d:
-30.22%
90d:
-35.57%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$10.42 – $13.52
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
46.9x
STRETCHED
vs 24.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$28.00
+175.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.85 / $12.11
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HNRG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.47
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNRG is currently trading at $10.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.42 to $13.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.9) compared to its historical average (24.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 24.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNRG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.85, while resistance sits at $12.11. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HNRG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+175.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNRG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.85, while resistance sits at $12.11. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HNRG scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+175.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.42 -
$13.52
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$10.42 -
$13.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$8.85
Resistance Level
$12.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 175.6% below Wall St target ($28.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 24.0% growth expectation is conservative given 1408% recent growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.89
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(+175.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1407.7%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+24.0% premium
PE vs Historical
46.9 vs 24.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+24.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.60
(+24%)
2-Year Target
$15.62
(+54%)
3-Year Target
$19.37
(+91%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.89 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.85
Bull Case
$12.27
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$10.16
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$7.77
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HNRG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $HNRG with no recent news articles available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNRG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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