Hallador Energy (HNRG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNRG - Hallador Energy Company
$15.34
-0.26 (-1.67%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.78%
30d:
-2.73%
90d:
-4.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HNRG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HNRG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.42
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNRG is currently trading at $15.34, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.28 to $16.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.4) compared to its historical average (21.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNRG is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $15.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HNRG scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.33 (+84.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNRG is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $15.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HNRG scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.33 (+84.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$15.28 -
$16.48
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 84.7% below Wall St target ($28.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.28 -
$16.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.33
Resistance Level
$17.30
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.36
Wall Street Target
$28.33
(+84.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1407.7%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 21.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.86
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.40
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$16.96
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â21)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.46 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.79
Bull Case
$18.52
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$15.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$11.74
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HNRG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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