HRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRB - H&R Block, Inc.
$53.68
0.64 (1.21%)
▲
5d:
-0.45%
30d:
+34.37%
90d:
+41.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HRB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HRB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.51
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRB is currently trading at $53.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.16 to $50.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.27, while resistance sits at $58.67.
Market Sentiment: HRB scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.27, while resistance sits at $58.67.
Market Sentiment: HRB scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$41.16 -
$50.53
Company Quality Score
25/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
11.9%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($50.67)
- BEARISH: Market expects 6.8% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.16 -
$50.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.27
Resistance Level
$58.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.13
Wall Street Target
$50.67
(-5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
18.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 6.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.33
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$61.23
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$65.39
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.91
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.5%)
$164.54
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 7.5%)
$66.63
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 7.5%)
$54.93
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.69
Bull Case
$67.73
(+26%)
Analyst growth 16.1%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$61.57
(+15%)
Market implied 16.1%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$36.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 7:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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