HRB
H&R Block, Inc.
SERVICES-PERSONAL SERVICES
H&R Block (HRB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$50.74
-0.24 (-0.48%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.77%
30d:
+10.25%
90d:
-5.91%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Feb 02, 2027
Protect HRB Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (39%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$44.93 â $52.16
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.7x
FAIR
vs 6.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$53.00
+4.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$48.80 / $56.11
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HRB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $52.42 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.38
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRB is currently trading at $50.73, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.93 to $52.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.80, while resistance sits at $56.11.
Market Sentiment: HRB scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.80, while resistance sits at $56.11.
Market Sentiment: HRB scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$44.93 -
$52.16
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$44.93 -
$52.16
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$48.80
Resistance Level
$56.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding HRB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.72
Wall Street Target
$53.00
(+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
17.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.17
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$55.46
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$57.84
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â7)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.5%)
$162.81
(+219%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 7.5%)
$63.28
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 7.5%)
$53.78
(+6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.69
Bull Case
$65.11
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.1%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$59.19
(+16%)
Market implied 16.1%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$34.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HRB)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 22, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
H&R Block reported strong earnings for Q4 2026, with a focus on higher-value clients and technology-enabled expert model. The company prioritizes complex clients and aims to expand a more consultative experience for tax season 2027.
Key Retail Themes:
Client focus
Technology integration
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Sells
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