HRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRB - H&R Block, Inc.
$35.87
1.83 (5.38%)
▲
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
-5.33%
90d:
+13.58%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HRB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HRB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.53
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRB is currently trading at $35.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.00 to $38.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.50 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.50 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.00 -
$38.99
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.00 -
$38.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.10
Resistance Level
$40.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.16
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.2%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.30
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.73
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$34.18
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$36.06
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$182.20
(+408%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$51.54
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$43.81
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.59
Bull Case
$39.00
(+9%)
Analyst growth 4.2%, PE expands to 6.7
Base Case
$35.46
(-1%)
Market implied 4.2%, PE stable at 6.1
Bear Case
$23.15
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 6.5
Stabilization Target:
$37.85
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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