HRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRB - H&R Block, Inc.
$36.33
0.46 (1.28%)
▲
5d:
+0.28%
30d:
-6.58%
90d:
+17.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HRB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.53
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRB is currently trading at $36.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.00 to $38.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.00 -
$38.99
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.00 -
$38.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.10
Resistance Level
$40.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.24
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.2%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.89
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$35.46
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$35.04
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$36.50
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$182.20
(+402%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$52.20
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$44.37
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.59
Bull Case
$41.10
(+13%)
Analyst growth 4.2%, PE expands to 7.1
Base Case
$37.36
(+3%)
Market implied 4.2%, PE stable at 6.4
Bear Case
$24.39
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 6.5
Stabilization Target:
$37.85
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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