Is HRB stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, HRB is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HRB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of HRB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for HRB to be between $41.84 and $46.96. The current price is $50.01.

What is the analyst price target for HRB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for HRB is $51.67. This implies a potential upside of 3.2% from current levels.

H&R Block (HRB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HRB - H&R Block, Inc.

SERVICES-PERSONAL SERVICES

$50.01

-0.07 (-0.14%) ▼

5d: +2.75%

30d: +17.37%

90d: +18.14%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your HRB Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 12d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 13, 2026 at $43.83 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HRB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$58.51

Based on 5.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$36.33

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HRB is currently trading at $50.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.84 to $46.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.6) compared to its historical average (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HRB scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $41.84 - $46.96

Company Quality Score 31/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 20.0%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.5% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.67)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.84 - $46.96

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.96

Resistance Level $50.39

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.58

Wall Street Target $51.67 (+3.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.5%

Profit Margin 18.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.0% premium

PE vs Historical 7.6 vs 6.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $52.08 (+4%)

2-Year Target $54.17 (+8%)

3-Year Target $56.33 (+13%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→7) PE COMPRESSION $49.78 (-1%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.5%) $162.81 (+225%)

Base: (SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 7.5%) $62.16 (+24%)

Bear: (PE: 6.4, Growth: 7.5%) $52.84 (+6%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 8.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.62

Bull Case $61.83 (+24%)

Analyst growth 17.5%, PE expands to 9.4

Base Case $56.21 (+12%)

Market implied 17.5%, PE stable at 8.5

Bear Case $32.52 (-35%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced HRB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HRB price and gamma walls.

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