H&R Block (HRB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRB - H&R Block, Inc.
$45.12
0.24 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
-11.7%
30d:
-16.72%
90d:
+25.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HRB is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HRB is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.51
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRB is currently trading at $45.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.62 to $53.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HRB scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.67 (+14.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HRB scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.67 (+14.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.62 -
$53.20
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.62 -
$53.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.32
Resistance Level
$53.04
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.83
Wall Street Target
$51.67
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Profit Margin
18.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 6.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.30
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$45.48
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$45.66
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.79
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.5%)
$165.36
(+267%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 7.5%)
$56.00
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 7.5%)
$47.60
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.66
Bull Case
$57.61
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.7%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$52.37
(+16%)
Market implied 16.7%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$30.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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