ICL Group (ICL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$4.71
-0.06 (-1.26%)
▼
5d:
-5.23%
30d:
-11.13%
90d:
-10.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.01
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $4.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.89 to $5.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $4.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.74 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $4.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.74 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.89 -
$5.34
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($5.74)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.89 -
$5.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.63
Resistance Level
$5.15
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.84
Wall Street Target
$5.74
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.6%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 12.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.51
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$4.31
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$4.13
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$4.72
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$10.50
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$5.73
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 6.8%)
$4.87
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$9.50
(+102%)
Analyst growth 81.0%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$8.64
(+83%)
Market implied 81.0%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$3.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$5.39
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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