ICL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$4.93
0.08 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
-2.38%
30d:
-10.36%
90d:
-4.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ICL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.4% annual earnings decline despite 40% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ICL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.4% annual earnings decline despite 40% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.42
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $4.93, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.92 to $5.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.20 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.20 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.92 -
$5.55
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($6.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.92 -
$5.55
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.51
Resistance Level
$6.79
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.96
Wall Street Target
$6.20
(+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.71
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$4.51
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$4.31
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$4.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$12.16
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 7.4%)
$6.12
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$5.20
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$10.67
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$9.70
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$3.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$5.62
(+14.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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