ICL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$6.12
-0.09 (-1.45%)
▼
5d:
-7.69%
30d:
+10.67%
90d:
+24.9%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ICL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.54
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $6.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.63 to $6.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.63 -
$6.65
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.45)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.63 -
$6.65
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.10
Resistance Level
$6.79
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.60
Wall Street Target
$6.45
(+5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.26
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.40
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$6.55
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$12.23
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 7.4%)
$7.59
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 7.4%)
$6.45
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$14.59
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.7
Base Case
$13.26
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$4.51
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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