ICL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$5.80
0.28 (5.07%)
▲
5d:
+4.5%
30d:
+9.43%
90d:
-10.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.79
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $5.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.07 to $5.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ICL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ICL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.07 -
$5.46
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($5.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.07 -
$5.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.30
Resistance Level
$5.82
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.17
Wall Street Target
$5.81
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.6%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.92
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.03
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$6.16
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.9%)
$10.20
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 4.9%)
$6.69
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 4.9%)
$5.69
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$11.14
(+92%)
Analyst growth 83.5%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$10.13
(+75%)
Market implied 83.5%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$3.75
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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