ICL Group (ICL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$5.66
-0.06 (-1.05%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.92%
30d:
+3.47%
90d:
-0.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ICL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ICL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.84
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $5.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.34 to $5.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICL scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICL scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.34 -
$5.79
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($5.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.34 -
$5.79
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.59
Resistance Level
$5.94
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.85
Wall Street Target
$5.81
(+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.6%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.72
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$5.77
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$5.83
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.67
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.9%)
$10.25
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 4.9%)
$6.53
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 4.9%)
$5.55
(-2%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.23
Bull Case
$12.05
(+113%)
Analyst growth 91.4%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case
$10.95
(+94%)
Market implied 91.4%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case
$3.89
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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