ICL Group (ICL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$5.04
0.07 (1.41%)
▲
5d:
-1.95%
30d:
-13.7%
90d:
-0.2%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ICL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.89
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $5.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.24 to $5.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.88, while resistance sits at $5.42.
Market Sentiment: ICL scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.81 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.88, while resistance sits at $5.42.
Market Sentiment: ICL scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.81 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.24 -
$5.80
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.81)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 28% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.24 -
$5.80
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.88
Resistance Level
$5.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.45
Wall Street Target
$5.81
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.6%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.90
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$4.77
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$4.64
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$5.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.5%)
$10.55
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 5.5%)
$5.92
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 5.5%)
$5.03
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$10.03
(+99%)
Analyst growth 83.5%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$9.12
(+81%)
Market implied 83.5%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$3.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$5.46
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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