ICL
ICL Group Ltd.
Agricultural Chemicals
ICL Group (ICL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.57
-0.10 (-2.14%)
▼
5d:
-0.22%
30d:
-8.23%
90d:
-15.21%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$4.61 – $4.99
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.5x
CHEAP
vs 12.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.74
+25.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.35 / $4.75
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: ICL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Get Alerted When ICL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.95
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $4.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.61 to $4.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.35, while resistance sits at $4.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.74 (+25.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.35, while resistance sits at $4.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.74 (+25.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.61 -
$4.99
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.61 -
$4.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$4.35
Resistance Level
$4.75
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.5% below Wall St target ($5.74)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.52
Wall Street Target
$5.74
(+25.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.34
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$4.12
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$3.92
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$4.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$10.50
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 6.8%)
$5.56
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$4.73
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$9.30
(+104%)
Analyst growth 81.0%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$8.45
(+85%)
Market implied 81.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$3.18
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$5.34
(+16.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.9%
Share ICL Analysis
Share this live ICL analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ICL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user questioned the discrepancy between $ICL's low stock price and its strong fundamentals and earnings.
Key Retail Themes:
Mispricing of $ICL stock
Strong fundamentals
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Agricultural Inputs Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Agricultural Inputs by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NTR
Nutrien Ltd |
BUY
26 analysts |
$77 | 46 HOLD |
|
CTVA
Corteva Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$17 | 47 HOLD |
|
CF
CF Industries Holdings I… |
SELL
22 analysts |
$129 | 47 HOLD |
|
MOS
The Mosaic Company |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$25 | 30 SELL |
|
FMC
FMC Corporation |
SELL
17 analysts |
$8 | 50 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive ICL Research Pages
