ICL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICL - ICL Group Ltd.
$5.12
0.06 (1.09%)
▲
5d:
-0.68%
30d:
+1.69%
90d:
-5.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ICL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.05
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICL is currently trading at $5.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.94 to $5.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $4.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.90 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $4.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.90 (+16.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.94 -
$5.19
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.90)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.94 -
$5.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.97
Resistance Level
$5.39
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.53
Wall Street Target
$5.90
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.93
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$4.81
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$4.69
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$5.09
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.3%)
$10.93
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 6.3%)
$6.08
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$5.17
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$11.40
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$10.36
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$3.52
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$5.49
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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