MOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOS - The Mosaic Company
$20.86
-0.39 (-1.84%)
▼
5d:
-3.83%
30d:
-7.33%
90d:
-17.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
Get Alerted When MOS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MOS is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MOS is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.85
16.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOS is currently trading at $20.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.23 to $23.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MOS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.03 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MOS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.03 (+29.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.23 -
$23.27
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MOS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($27.03)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.23 -
$23.27
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.76
Resistance Level
$24.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.86
Wall Street Target
$27.03
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
239.5%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.99
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$21.11
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$21.24
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.92
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 121.4%)
$141.19
(+577%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 121.4%)
$70.40
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 121.4%)
$59.84
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.04
Bull Case
$25.19
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$20.86
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$15.96
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 7:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-09
Top Rated Agricultural Inputs Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Agricultural Inputs by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CTVA
Corteva Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$90 | 61 BUY |
|
NTR
Nutrien Ltd |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$82 | 59 HOLD |
|
FMC
FMC Corporation |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$17 | 51 HOLD |
|
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Compa… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$73 | 56 HOLD |
|
CF
CF Industries Holdings I… |
SELL
21 analysts |
$126 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced MOS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOS price and gamma walls.
