What is the fair value of MOS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MOS to be between $22.26 and $25.22. The current price is $25.19.

What is the analyst price target for MOS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MOS is $26.47. This implies a potential upside of 5.1% from current levels.

The Mosaic (MOS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MOS - The Mosaic Company

AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS

$25.19

-0.21 (-0.83%) ▼

5d: -1.18%

30d: +11.46%

90d: +19.44%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your MOS Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $25.85 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026

Strength: 8.2/10

Get Alerted When MOS Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MOS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$35.34

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$21.94

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MOS is currently trading at $25.19, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.26 to $25.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MOS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.32, while resistance sits at $26.96.

Market Sentiment: MOS scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $22.26 - $25.22

Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 38.1%

Protect Your Profits

Holding MOS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.47)
NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.7% growth expectation is conservative given 240% recent growth
WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.26 - $25.22

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.33

Resistance Level $26.96

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.69

Wall Street Target $26.47 (+5.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 239.5%

Profit Margin -5.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +11.7% premium

PE vs Historical 15.7 vs 11.3 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +11.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $28.14 (+12%)

2-Year Target $31.43 (+25%)

3-Year Target $35.11 (+39%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→11) PE COMPRESSION $25.29 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 289.7%) $109.31 (+334%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 289.7%) $85.02 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 11.3, Growth: 289.7%) $61.24 (+143%)

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is MOS showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for MOS.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Agricultural Inputs Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Agricultural Inputs by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
CTVA Corteva Inc	STRONG BUY 24 analysts	$92	45 HOLD
NTR Nutrien Ltd	STRONG BUY 24 analysts	$77	32 SELL
SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Compa…	STRONG BUY 11 analysts	$77	41 HOLD
FMC FMC Corporation	HOLD 20 analysts	$14	33 SELL
CF CF Industries Holdings I…	SELL 21 analysts	$125	33 SELL

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gr…

41 HOLD

FMC FMC Corporation

33 SELL

CF CF Industries Hol…

33 SELL

Advanced MOS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for MOS

MOS Technical Chart MOS Price Prediction MOS Earnings Date MOS Investment Advisor MOS Fair Price Analyzer MOS Options Advisor MOS Options Chain MOS Options Analysis MOS Competitors

Compare MOS with Peers

MOS vs CF
Which one to buy?

MOS vs NTR
Which one to buy?

MOS vs IPI
Which one to buy?

MOS vs BG
Which one to buy?

MOS vs FCX
Which one to buy?

BIOX vs MOS
Winner: Tie

MOS vs FCX
Winner: FCX

SEED vs MOS

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie