Is MOS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MOS is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MOS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of MOS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MOS to be between $21.84 and $23.34. The current price is $23.88.

What is the analyst price target for MOS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MOS is $27.26. This implies a potential upside of 11.7% from current levels.

MOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MOS - The Mosaic Company

AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS

$23.88

-0.53 (-2.17%) ▼

5d: +12.48%

30d: +7.09%

90d: +6.09%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your MOS Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 20, 2026 at $23.35 · last confirmed Aug 24, 2026

Strength: 9.9/10

Get Alerted When MOS Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MOS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$35.68

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$22.16

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MOS is currently trading at $23.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.84 to $23.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MOS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.82, while resistance sits at $25.18.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.26 (+11.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $21.84 - $23.34

Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 48.6%

Protect Your Profits

Holding MOS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.26)
NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.9% growth expectation is conservative given 240% recent growth
WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $21.84 - $23.34

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.82

Resistance Level $25.18

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 24, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.52

Wall Street Target $27.26 (+11.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 239.5%

Profit Margin -5.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +9.9% premium

PE vs Historical 14.5 vs 10.9 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +9.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $26.83 (+10%)

2-Year Target $29.48 (+21%)

3-Year Target $32.40 (+33%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→11) PE COMPRESSION $24.32 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 320.7%) $113.87 (+367%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 320.7%) $82.38 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 10.9, Growth: 320.7%) $61.84 (+153%)

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: August 24, 2026 3:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:01 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is MOS showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for MOS.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Agricultural Inputs Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Agricultural Inputs by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
CTVA Corteva Inc	STRONG BUY 24 analysts	$92	46 HOLD
NTR Nutrien Ltd	STRONG BUY 24 analysts	$76	36 SELL
SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Compa…	STRONG BUY 11 analysts	$77	67 BUY
FMC FMC Corporation	HOLD 20 analysts	$14	45 HOLD
CF CF Industries Holdings I…	SELL 21 analysts	$126	37 SELL

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gr…

67 BUY

FMC FMC Corporation

45 HOLD

CF CF Industries Hol…

37 SELL

Advanced MOS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for MOS

MOS Technical Chart MOS Price Prediction MOS Earnings Date MOS Investment Advisor MOS Fair Price Analyzer MOS Options Advisor MOS Options Chain MOS Options Analysis MOS Competitors

Compare MOS with Peers

MOS vs CF
Which one to buy?

MOS vs NTR
Which one to buy?

MOS vs IPI
Which one to buy?

MOS vs BG
Which one to buy?

MOS vs FCX
Which one to buy?

MOS vs UAN

MOS vs NTR
Winner: Tie

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie