IIIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IIIN - Insteel Industries, Inc.
$31.10
0.45 (1.47%)
β²
5d:
-3.54%
30d:
+3.94%
90d:
+17.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
β BUY SIGNAL: IIIN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
β BUY SIGNAL: IIIN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.36
6.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IIIN is currently trading at $31.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.46 to $31.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $30.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $30.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.46 -
$31.68
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.4% below Wall St target ($39.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 9.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.46 -
$31.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.38
Resistance Level
$33.57
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.85
Wall Street Target
$39.00
(+25.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.9%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.34
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$33.64
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$34.98
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13β11)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.03
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 50.8%)
$169.31
(+444%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 50.8%)
$104.96
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 50.8%)
$89.22
(+187%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$43.59
(+42%)
Analyst growth 29.4%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$39.63
(+29%)
Market implied 29.4%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$20.82
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
π₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is IIIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Wagner
SELL
1679 shares
2026-02-26
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