IIIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IIIN - Insteel Industries, Inc.

STEEL WORKS, BLAST FURNACES & ROLLING & FINISHING MILLS
$30.92
0.56 (1.84%) β–²
5d: -5.21%
30d: -4.36%
90d: +17.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š MIXED SIGNALS: IIIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.94
8.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IIIN is currently trading at $30.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.95 to $32.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: IIIN scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+26.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $30.95 - $32.73
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($39.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with 9.9% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $30.95 - $32.73
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.31
Resistance Level $33.13
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.78
Wall Street Target $39.00 (+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -40.9%
Profit Margin 5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.3% premium
PE vs Historical 12.8 vs 11.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.94 (+3%)
2-Year Target $32.99 (+7%)
3-Year Target $34.08 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13β†’12) PE COMPRESSION $30.94 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 50.8%) $163.92 (+430%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 50.8%) $104.36 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 10.9, Growth: 50.8%) $88.70 (+187%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.82
Bull Case $44.41 (+44%)
Analyst growth 33.0%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case $40.37 (+31%)
Market implied 33.0%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case $20.64 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 1:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Wagner SELL 1679 shares 2026-02-26

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