Insteel Industries (IIIN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IIIN - Insteel Industries, Inc.
$27.77
-2.53 (-8.35%)
▼
5d:
-6.37%
30d:
-4.67%
90d:
-13.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When IIIN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IIIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IIIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.24
18.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IIIN is currently trading at $27.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.15 to $30.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $27.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: IIIN scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+40.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $27.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: IIIN scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.00 (+40.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$29.15 -
$30.19
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($39.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.15 -
$30.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.33
Resistance Level
$31.11
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.48
Wall Street Target
$39.00
(+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.9%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.55
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$27.33
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$27.11
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$27.64
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 50.8%)
$162.21
(+484%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 50.8%)
$93.72
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 50.8%)
$79.67
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.51
Bull Case
$53.42
(+92%)
Analyst growth 60.3%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$48.56
(+75%)
Market implied 60.3%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$20.60
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$28.31
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is IIIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Metal Fabrication Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Metal Fabrication by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ESAB
ESAB Corp |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$124 | 59 HOLD |
|
ATI
Allegheny Technologies I… |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$249 | 44 HOLD |
|
CMC
Commercial Metals Company |
BUY
12 analysts |
$79 | 49 HOLD |
|
CRS
Carpenter Technology Cor… |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$536 | 41 HOLD |
|
MEC
Mayville Engineering Co … |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$37 | 42 HOLD |