i3 Verticals (IIIV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IIIV - i3 Verticals, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$15.98
0.51 (3.33%)
▲
5d:
+11.87%
30d:
+2.93%
90d:
-24.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IIIV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IIIV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.50
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.56
18.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IIIV is currently trading at $15.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.43 to $15.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.50 (+59.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.50 (+59.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.43 -
$15.76
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 59.6% below Wall St target ($25.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.43 -
$15.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.63
Resistance Level
$16.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.09
Wall Street Target
$25.50
(+59.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 16.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.68
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$13.49
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$12.40
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$16.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$35.66
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$23.51
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$19.99
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.16 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.83
Bull Case
$19.29
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$15.97
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$12.22
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$20.62
(+29.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 12, 2026 3:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IIIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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