IIIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IIIV - i3 Verticals, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$19.87
-0.03 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
+1.43%
30d:
+0.97%
90d:
-11.22%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IIIV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IIIV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.88
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.04
5.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IIIV is currently trading at $19.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.45 to $20.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.17, while resistance sits at $21.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.20 (+36.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.17, while resistance sits at $21.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.20 (+36.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.45 -
$20.29
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.7% below Wall St target ($27.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.45 -
$20.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.17
Resistance Level
$21.29
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.69
Wall Street Target
$27.20
(+36.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.4%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 18.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.90
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$17.96
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$17.06
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$19.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.8%)
$38.61
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$27.82
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$23.65
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.16 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.04
Bull Case
$24.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$19.90
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$15.22
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$23.20
(+16.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is IIIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul Christians
SELL
6122 shares
2026-03-06
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