i3 Verticals (IIIV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IIIV - i3 Verticals, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$14.46
0.63 (4.59%)
▲
5d:
-4.46%
30d:
-9.66%
90d:
-33.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IIIV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IIIV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.68
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.67
26.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IIIV is currently trading at $14.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.60 to $16.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.63, while resistance sits at $15.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.50 (+76.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.63, while resistance sits at $15.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.50 (+76.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.60 -
$16.41
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 76.4% below Wall St target ($25.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.60 -
$16.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.63
Resistance Level
$15.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.85
Wall Street Target
$25.50
(+76.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 17.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.01
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.71
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.54
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→17)
$15.12
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.8%)
$36.63
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$21.28
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$18.09
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.29
Bull Case
$30.40
(+110%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.4
Base Case
$27.64
(+91%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.7
Bear Case
$9.40
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$20.74
(+43.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IIIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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