IIIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IIIV - i3 Verticals, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$16.68
0.03 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
+2.08%
30d:
-15.63%
90d:
-15.24%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IIIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IIIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.99
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.48
18.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IIIV is currently trading at $16.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.05 to $21.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.57, while resistance sits at $17.27.
Market Sentiment: IIIV scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.50 (+52.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.57, while resistance sits at $17.27.
Market Sentiment: IIIV scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.50 (+52.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.05 -
$21.51
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (84/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.9% below Wall St target ($25.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.05 -
$21.51
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.57
Resistance Level
$17.27
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.67
Wall Street Target
$25.50
(+52.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.31
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$14.06
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$12.90
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$16.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$36.04
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 13.8%)
$24.55
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 13.8%)
$20.87
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.16 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.87
Bull Case
$20.14
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$16.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$12.76
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$21.59
(+29.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IIIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul Christians
SELL
6122 shares
2026-03-06
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