IPAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IPAR - Interparfums, Inc. Common Stock
$115.60
0.85 (0.74%)
▲
5d:
+0.85%
30d:
-3.47%
90d:
+26.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IPAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IPAR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.36
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IPAR is currently trading at $115.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.52 to $125.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.2) compared to its historical average (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $110.06, while resistance sits at $120.97.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $110.06, while resistance sits at $120.97.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$116.52 -
$125.39
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($126.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.4% growth with 2.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.52 -
$125.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$110.06
Resistance Level
$120.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.21
Wall Street Target
$126.67
(+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 18.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.00
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$130.87
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$139.25
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$115.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.2, Growth: 6.4%)
$139.33
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.4%)
$125.88
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 6.4%)
$107.00
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.13
Bull Case
$128.05
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.4%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$116.41
(+1%)
Market implied 1.4%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$78.03
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IPAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jean Madar
SELL
20000 shares
2026-04-02
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