IPAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IPAR - Interparfums, Inc. Common Stock
$118.47
-0.81 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
-2.15%
30d:
+20.45%
90d:
+27.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IPAR trades at premium valuation expecting 6.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: IPAR trades at premium valuation expecting 6.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.52
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IPAR is currently trading at $118.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.77 to $115.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (17.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IPAR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IPAR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$95.77 -
$115.82
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($109.33)
- BEARISH: Market expects 6.0% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.77 -
$115.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.71
Resistance Level
$97.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.23
Wall Street Target
$109.33
(-7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 17.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$125.58
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$133.11
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$141.10
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$118.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.9%)
$184.38
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 14.9%)
$179.73
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 14.9%)
$150.68
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.41
Bull Case
$134.34
(+13%)
Analyst growth 3.1%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$122.13
(+2%)
Market implied 3.1%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$80.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IPAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jean Madar
SELL
20000 shares
2026-04-02
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