J.Jill (JILL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JILL - J.Jill, Inc. Common Stock
$24.53
-0.15 (-0.61%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
+1.66%
90d:
+53.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JILL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 15.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JILL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 15.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.38
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JILL is currently trading at $24.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.84 to $24.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (5.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$23.84 -
$24.69
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 15.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.84 -
$24.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.86
Resistance Level
$25.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.90
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(-0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.0%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 5.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.21
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$32.44
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$37.31
(+52%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â6)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.73
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$90.35
(+268%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$40.49
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$26.84
(+9%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case
$41.57
(+70%)
Analyst growth 53.1%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$37.79
(+54%)
Market implied 53.1%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$16.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 19, 2026 8:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JILL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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