JILL J.Jill, Inc. Common Stock WOMEN'S, MISSES', AND JUNIORS OUTERWEAR

J.Jill (JILL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$22.57
-0.42 (-1.83%) ▼
5d: +0.27% 30d: -7.5% 90d: +21.08%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (74%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$22.87 – $24.47
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.2x STRETCHED
vs 6.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$24.50
+8.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$22.17 / $24.70
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: JILL trades at premium valuation expecting 10.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.85
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.29
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: JILL is currently trading at $22.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.87 to $24.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (6.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $22.87 - $24.47
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $22.87 - $24.47
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $22.17
Resistance Level $24.70
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.7% growth which is achievable
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.19
Wall Street Target $24.50 (+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 61.0%
Profit Margin 4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +10.7% premium
PE vs Historical 8.2 vs 6.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $24.98 (+11%)
2-Year Target $27.66 (+23%)
3-Year Target $30.62 (+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→6) PE COMPRESSION $22.43 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.2%) $90.35 (+300%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 18.2%) $37.25 (+65%)
Bear: (PE: 6.0, Growth: 18.2%) $27.29 (+21%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case $38.72 (+72%)
Analyst growth 53.1%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case $35.20 (+56%)
Market implied 53.1%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case $15.63 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (JILL)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits messages indicate a bullish sentiment towards $JILL, with one user expressing optimism about the stock's 3-month trend.
Key Retail Themes: Positive trend in $JILL stock
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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