JILL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JILL - J.Jill, Inc. Common Stock
$15.95
-0.02 (-0.09%)
▼
5d:
+1.75%
30d:
+8.99%
90d:
+32.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JILL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JILL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.67
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JILL is currently trading at $15.95, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.14 to $16.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (5.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.14 -
$16.07
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.3% growth with -6.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.14 -
$16.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.43
Resistance Level
$14.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.79
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(-2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.2%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 5.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.65
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$17.36
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$18.11
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.2%)
$99.08
(+521%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 18.2%)
$26.34
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$22.39
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$35.84
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$32.58
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$11.08
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 1:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JILL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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