J.Jill (JILL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JILL - J.Jill, Inc. Common Stock
$24.08
1.31 (5.75%)
▲
5d:
+24.25%
30d:
+29.18%
90d:
+64.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When JILL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: JILL is 19.2% above its trading range ($20.20). Market expects 17.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: JILL is 19.2% above its trading range ($20.20). Market expects 17.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.53
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JILL is currently trading at $24.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.81 to $20.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (5.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: JILL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: JILL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.81 -
$20.20
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+19.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 17.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.81 -
$20.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.49
Resistance Level
$24.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.74
Wall Street Target
$23.75
(-1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.0%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 5.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.17
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$32.96
(+37%)
3-Year Target
$38.57
(+60%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.28
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.2%)
$91.76
(+281%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 18.2%)
$39.75
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 18.2%)
$25.02
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case
$38.35
(+59%)
Analyst growth 53.1%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$34.86
(+45%)
Market implied 53.1%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$15.48
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 11:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JILL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TJX
The TJX Companies Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$170 | 51 HOLD |
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
BUY
36 analysts |
$106 | 37 SELL |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$270 | 62 BUY |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$365 | 52 HOLD |
|
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$222 | 41 HOLD |
