JILL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JILL - J.Jill, Inc. Common Stock
$13.07
-0.26 (-1.95%)
▼
5d:
-0.08%
30d:
+5.4%
90d:
-25.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 10, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JILL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JILL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.21
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.41
9.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JILL is currently trading at $13.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.07 to $13.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.7) is in line with its historical norms (5.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.54, while resistance sits at $13.62.
Market Sentiment: JILL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+10.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.54, while resistance sits at $13.62.
Market Sentiment: JILL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+10.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.07 -
$13.02
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.07 -
$13.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.54
Resistance Level
$13.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.74
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 5.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.80
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.53
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$12.26
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$12.93
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$99.67
(+663%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 18.2%)
$21.57
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 18.2%)
$18.34
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.82
Bull Case
$21.57
(+63%)
Analyst growth 51.4%, PE expands to 7.8
Base Case
$19.61
(+48%)
Market implied 51.4%, PE stable at 7.1
Bear Case
$8.81
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.7 to 5.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.78
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 10:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JILL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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