Kimberly-Clark (KMB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KMB - Kimberly-Clark Corp.

CONVERTED PAPER & PAPERBOARD PRODS (NO CONTANERS/BOXES)
$112.32
5.67 (5.32%) ▲
5d: +7.92%
30d: +14.96%
90d: +2.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your KMB Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 12d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $104.92 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026

Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KMB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.89
7.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KMB is currently trading at $112.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.43 to $103.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KMB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: KMB scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $95.43 - $103.78
Company Quality Score 28/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.1%

Protect Your Profits

KMB is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($114.80)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 0.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $95.43 - $103.78
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $96.52
Resistance Level $112.39
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.17
Wall Street Target $114.80 (+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -32.3%
Profit Margin 11.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.0% premium
PE vs Historical 15.2 vs 13.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $116.81 (+4%)
2-Year Target $121.48 (+8%)
3-Year Target $126.34 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $112.46 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 31.4%) $148.47 (+32%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 31.4%) $113.38 (+1%)
Bear: (PE: 12.9, Growth: 31.4%) $96.37 (-14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.99
Bull Case $174.09 (+55%)
Analyst growth 48.4%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case $158.27 (+41%)
Market implied 48.4%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case $72.52 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced KMB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KMB price and gamma walls.

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