KMB Kimberly-Clark Corp. CONVERTED PAPER & PAPERBOARD PRODS (NO CONTANERS/BOXES)

Kimberly-Clark (KMB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$107.42
-1.44 (-1.32%) â–ŧ
5d: -2.75% 30d: +8.06% 90d: -2.69%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (69%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$100.19 – $110.69
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.3x FAIR
vs 13.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$118.53
+8.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$104.42 / $112.91
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: KMB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $108.43 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026

Strength: 3.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.00
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.89
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KMB is currently trading at $107.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.19 to $110.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KMB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $104.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $100.19 - $110.69
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $100.19 - $110.69
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $104.42
Resistance Level $112.91
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($118.53)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.28
Wall Street Target $118.53 (+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 300.7%
Profit Margin 19.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.0% premium
PE vs Historical 15.3 vs 13.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $113.21 (+4%)
2-Year Target $117.74 (+8%)
3-Year Target $122.45 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $108.97 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.4%) $160.96 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 4.4%) $123.86 (+14%)
Bear: (PE: 13.0, Growth: 4.4%) $105.28 (-3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.24
Bull Case $165.62 (+52%)
Analyst growth 35.9%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case $150.57 (+38%)
Market implied 35.9%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case $75.32 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KMB)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bearish sentiment dominates $KMB on StockTwits with no recent positive news articles.
Key Retail Themes: Bearish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:33 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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