Kemper (KMPR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KMPR - Kemper Corporation
$28.91
-0.84 (-2.82%)
▼
5d:
+4.37%
30d:
+10.34%
90d:
+4.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KMPR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KMPR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.24
13.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMPR is currently trading at $28.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.59 to $28.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMPR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $26.23, while resistance sits at $31.06.
Market Sentiment: KMPR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.33 (+25.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMPR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $26.23, while resistance sits at $31.06.
Market Sentiment: KMPR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.33 (+25.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.59 -
$28.34
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.7% below Wall St target ($36.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with -9.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.59 -
$28.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.23
Resistance Level
$31.06
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.84
Wall Street Target
$36.33
(+25.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
-10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.40
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$29.90
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$30.41
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 106.4%)
$283.50
(+881%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 106.4%)
$97.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 106.4%)
$82.94
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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