KMPR Kemper Corporation FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE Best Insurance Stocks 2026 →

Kemper (KMPR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$34.39
+1.24 (+3.74%) ▲
5d: +1.84% 30d: +24.56% 90d: +29.72%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (32%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$27.19 – $33.20
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.4x STRETCHED
vs 6.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$36.33
+5.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$29.15 / $36.58
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KMPR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.75
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KMPR is currently trading at $34.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.19 to $33.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KMPR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.14, while resistance sits at $36.58. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: KMPR scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $27.19 - $33.20
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 31.9%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $27.19 - $33.20
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $29.15
Resistance Level $36.58
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.5% growth with -9.1% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.38
Wall Street Target $36.33 (+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.4%
Profit Margin -10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.5% premium
PE vs Historical 8.4 vs 6.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.31 (+9%)
2-Year Target $40.48 (+18%)
3-Year Target $43.93 (+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→7) PE COMPRESSION $34.60 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 83.6%) $275.07 (+700%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 83.6%) $116.07 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.6, Growth: 83.6%) $91.41 (+166%)
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KMPR)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The stock market sentiment towards $KMPR on StockTwits is bullish with 100.0% of messages expressing positive emotions.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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