KNSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNSL - Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.
$340.57
1.99 (0.59%)
▲
5d:
-4.02%
30d:
+12.31%
90d:
-5.86%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
Get Alerted When KNSL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KNSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KNSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$441.71
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$274.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNSL is currently trading at $340.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $302.24 to $338.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $316.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNSL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNSL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $316.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNSL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$302.24 -
$338.73
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($345.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$302.24 -
$338.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$287.20
Resistance Level
$316.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.68
Wall Street Target
$345.00
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.4%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$334.44
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$328.42
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$322.51
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$341.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.3%)
$536.88
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 4.3%)
$386.63
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 4.3%)
$328.63
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.68
Bull Case
$356.57
(+5%)
Analyst growth -4.3%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$324.15
(-5%)
Market implied -4.3%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$230.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$360.45
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is KNSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ALL
The Allstate Corporation |
BUY
25 analysts |
$249 | 62 BUY |
|
TRV
The Travelers Companies … |
SELL
28 analysts |
$329 | 65 BUY |
|
CB
Chubb Ltd |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$352 | 68 BUY |
|
PGR
Progressive Corp |
BUY
19 analysts |
$233 | 66 BUY |
|
HIG
Hartford Financial Servi… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$144 | 64 BUY |
