KNSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNSL - Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.
$383.55
2.40 (0.63%)
▲
5d:
+1.15%
30d:
+15.43%
90d:
+22.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Get Alerted When KNSL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$420.60
Based on 3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$261.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNSL is currently trading at $383.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $342.60 to $378.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNSL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $388.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNSL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $388.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$342.60 -
$378.43
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($354.78)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$342.60 -
$378.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$365.58
Resistance Level
$388.72
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.72
Wall Street Target
$354.78
(-7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.0%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$392.37
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$401.40
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$410.63
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$384.70
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 2.4%)
$466.85
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 2.4%)
$412.15
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 2.4%)
$350.33
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $24.62
Bull Case
$368.63
(-4%)
Analyst growth -12.1%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$335.12
(-13%)
Market implied -12.1%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$259.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is KNSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CB
Chubb Ltd |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$365 | 64 BUY |
|
TRV
The Travelers Companies … |
SELL
28 analysts |
$360 | 57 HOLD |
|
ALL
The Allstate Corporation |
BUY
25 analysts |
$274 | 46 HOLD |
|
HIG
Hartford Financial Servi… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$144 | 61 BUY |
|
PGR
Progressive Corp |
BUY
19 analysts |
$230 | 48 HOLD |
