Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNSL - Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.
$360.01
-2.69 (-0.74%)
▼
5d:
-6.0%
30d:
-3.62%
90d:
+15.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Get Alerted When KNSL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNSL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$420.60
Based on 3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$261.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNSL is currently trading at $360.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $365.88 to $383.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $356.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KNSL scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $356.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KNSL scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$365.88 -
$383.30
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (17/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($354.78)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$365.88 -
$383.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$356.40
Resistance Level
$387.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.76
Wall Street Target
$354.78
(-2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.0%
Profit Margin
28.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$363.43
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$364.15
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$364.88
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$361.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.4%)
$469.17
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 2.4%)
$389.75
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 2.4%)
$331.29
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $24.13
Bull Case
$354.85
(-2%)
Analyst growth -10.3%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$322.59
(-11%)
Market implied -10.3%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$244.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is KNSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TRV
The Travelers Companies … |
SELL
28 analysts |
$360 | 62 BUY |
|
CB
Chubb Ltd |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$366 | 59 HOLD |
|
ALL
The Allstate Corporation |
BUY
25 analysts |
$275 | 46 HOLD |
|
HIG
Hartford Financial Servi… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$144 | 59 HOLD |
|
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corp |
HOLD
16 analysts |
$70 | 70 BUY |
