KREF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KREF - KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.
$5.72
0.24 (4.38%)
▲
5d:
-4.19%
30d:
-5.61%
90d:
-22.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KREF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KREF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KREF is currently trading at $5.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.78 to $6.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -10.4) compared to its historical average (21.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KREF is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.46, while resistance sits at $6.36. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KREF is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.46, while resistance sits at $6.36. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.78 -
$6.67
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($7.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.78 -
$6.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.46
Resistance Level
$6.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-10.40
Wall Street Target
$7.25
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
245.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.1%
PE vs Historical
-10.4 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KREF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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