KREF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$5.52
+0.10 (+1.85%)
â˛
5d:
-4.5%
30d:
-6.91%
90d:
-29.23%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$5.48 â $6.04
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
-22.7x
CHEAP
vs 21.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.00
+26.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.94 / $5.97
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: KREF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KREF is currently trading at $5.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.48 to $6.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -22.7) compared to its historical average (21.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KREF is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.93, while resistance sits at $5.97.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+26.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KREF is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.93, while resistance sits at $5.97.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+26.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.48 -
$6.04
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$5.48 -
$6.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$4.94
Resistance Level
$5.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-22.69
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.1%
PE vs Historical
-22.7 vs 21.0
CHEAP
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KREF)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust reported a Q4 net loss, highlighted liquidity improvements, and elevated credit provisions. Bullish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
Liquidity improvements and strong balance sheet
Elevated credit provisions and credit performance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KREF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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