KREF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$5.42
-0.28 (-4.91%)
▼
5d:
+4.03%
30d:
-5.74%
90d:
-29.24%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$5.49 – $6.05
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
-22.3x
CHEAP
vs 21.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.00
+29.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.94 / $6.02
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KREF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KREF is currently trading at $5.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.49 to $6.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -22.3) compared to its historical average (21.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KREF is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.93, while resistance sits at $6.02. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: KREF scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KREF is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.93, while resistance sits at $6.02. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: KREF scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.49 -
$6.05
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$5.49 -
$6.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$4.94
Resistance Level
$6.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-22.28
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.1%
PE vs Historical
-22.3 vs 21.0
CHEAP
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KREF)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust reported a Q4 net loss, highlighted liquidity improvements, and elevated credit provisions. Bullish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
Liquidity improvements and strong balance sheet
Elevated credit provisions and credit performance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KREF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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