KSPI
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz American Depository Shares
Services-Business Services, NEC
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KSPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$88.42
-1.02 (-1.14%)
▼
5d:
-3.45%
30d:
-6.84%
90d:
-10.42%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (55%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$90.24 – $94.60
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
0.0x
CHEAP
Next 12M consensus est.
Wall Street Target
$106.43
+19.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$86.73 / $96.32
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KSPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$202049.60
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$125456.90
99.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KSPI is currently trading at $88.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.24 to $94.60. Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KSPI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KSPI scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.43 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KSPI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KSPI scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.43 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$90.24 -
$94.60
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$90.24 -
$94.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$86.73
Resistance Level
$96.32
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($106.43)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.01
Wall Street Target
$106.43
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Profit Margin
24.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.28
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$75.70
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$69.65
(-22%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$193803.97
(+216586%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.0, Growth: 14.0%)
$132.58
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.0, Growth: 14.0%)
$112.69
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.32
Bull Case
$193.38
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$175.80
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 7.8
Bear Case
$59.77
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KSPI)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on KSPI are bullish (sentiment score +0.96) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KSPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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