KSPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KSPI - Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz American Depository Shares
$83.50
-1.31 (-1.54%)
▼
5d:
+0.36%
30d:
-8.24%
90d:
+13.3%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KSPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KSPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$215011.43
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$133505.18
99.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KSPI is currently trading at $83.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.46 to $90.81. Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KSPI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.42, while resistance sits at $94.79.
Market Sentiment: KSPI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.20 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KSPI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.42, while resistance sits at $94.79.
Market Sentiment: KSPI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.20 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$81.46 -
$90.81
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($96.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.46 -
$90.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.42
Resistance Level
$94.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.01
Wall Street Target
$96.20
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.24
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$75.20
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$71.36
(-15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.1%)
$228065.22
(+273032%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$130.79
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$111.17
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.09
Bull Case
$186.58
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 8.4
Base Case
$169.62
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$57.67
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KSPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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