LCII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCII - LCI Industries
$92.26
0.93 (1.02%)
▲
5d:
-0.22%
30d:
-15.5%
90d:
-23.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LCII appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.8% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LCII appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.8% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$201.70
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$125.24
26.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCII is currently trading at $92.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.93 to $109.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.50 (+55.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.50 (+55.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$91.93 -
$109.45
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.5% below Wall St target ($143.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.93 -
$109.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.48
Resistance Level
$115.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.18
Wall Street Target
$143.50
(+55.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.4%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$74.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$67.26
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$98.22
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$315.17
(+242%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 12.9%)
$132.78
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$112.86
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.16
Bull Case
$124.17
(+35%)
Analyst growth 23.2%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$112.89
(+22%)
Market implied 23.2%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$62.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$134.73
(+46.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-13
Jason Lippert
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-24
Jamie Schnur
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-23
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