LCI Industries (LCII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$97.52
-0.46 (-0.47%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.48%
30d:
+22.91%
90d:
-8.98%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$80.48 â $98.47
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.9x
CHEAP
vs 12.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$111.80
+14.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$95.85 / $107.60
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LCII is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.38
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCII is currently trading at $97.52, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.48 to $98.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LCII scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.80 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LCII scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.80 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$80.48 -
$98.47
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$80.48 -
$98.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$95.85
Resistance Level
$107.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($111.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.85
Wall Street Target
$111.80
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.6%
Profit Margin
5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 12.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.11
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$90.81
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$87.63
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â12)
$97.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$217.39
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$118.81
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 6.8%)
$100.99
(+4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.18
Bull Case
$118.38
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.8%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$107.62
(+10%)
Market implied 9.8%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$66.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 12.1
Stabilization Target:
$108.71
(+11.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LCII)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
LCI Industries' third-quarter discussion emphasized solid execution with expansion into new end markets raising questions about strategic diversification and potential execution risks.
Key Retail Themes:
LCI Industries' third-quarter performance
Expansion into adjacent end markets
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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