LCI Industries (LCII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCII - LCI Industries
$82.81
0.70 (0.85%)
▲
5d:
-2.01%
30d:
-19.36%
90d:
-20.72%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LCII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LCII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$168.82
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.83
21.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCII is currently trading at $82.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.50 to $100.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LCII scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.70 (+54.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LCII scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.70 (+54.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$84.50 -
$100.13
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.2% below Wall St target ($127.70)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 32% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.50 -
$100.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.67
Resistance Level
$89.01
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.76
Wall Street Target
$127.70
(+54.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 12.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.53
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$67.08
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$60.37
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$85.45
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.2%)
$265.21
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$113.89
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 11.2%)
$96.81
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.46
Bull Case
$100.92
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.7%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$91.75
(+11%)
Market implied 11.7%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$55.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$117.21
(+41.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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