LCII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCII - LCI Industries
$101.98
-3.46 (-3.28%)
▼
5d:
-3.88%
30d:
-2.5%
90d:
-6.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LCII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LCII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$175.57
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.02
6.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCII is currently trading at $101.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.63 to $107.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $101.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: LCII scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.40 (+26.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $101.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: LCII scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.40 (+26.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$103.63 -
$107.55
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($129.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$103.63 -
$107.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.79
Resistance Level
$109.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.73
Wall Street Target
$129.40
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 12.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.07
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$90.49
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$85.24
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$101.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$262.91
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 11.3%)
$140.60
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$119.51
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.62
Bull Case
$127.85
(+25%)
Analyst growth 10.2%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$116.23
(+14%)
Market implied 10.2%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$71.70
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 12.8
Stabilization Target:
$121.62
(+19.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-13
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