LCI Industries (LCII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCII - LCI Industries
$86.60
3.45 (4.15%)
â˛
5d:
+3.07%
30d:
+1.85%
90d:
-16.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LCII is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LCII is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.50
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.80
11.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCII is currently trading at $86.60, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.66 to $86.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.80 (+38.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.80 (+38.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$80.66 -
$86.68
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.3% below Wall St target ($119.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.66 -
$86.68
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.58
Resistance Level
$87.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.36
Wall Street Target
$119.80
(+38.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.41
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$72.82
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$66.78
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â12)
$87.08
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.8%)
$243.45
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 9.8%)
$114.68
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 9.8%)
$97.48
(+13%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.63
Bull Case
$98.10
(+13%)
Analyst growth 7.3%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$89.19
(+3%)
Market implied 7.3%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$56.54
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$112.93
(+30.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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