LCII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCII - LCI Industries
$102.04
0.97 (0.96%)
▲
5d:
-2.31%
30d:
+12.48%
90d:
-19.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LCII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LCII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.32
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.55
13.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCII is currently trading at $102.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.59 to $101.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $92.48, while resistance sits at $115.19.
Market Sentiment: LCII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.20 (+36.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $92.48, while resistance sits at $115.19.
Market Sentiment: LCII has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $139.20 (+36.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$91.59 -
$101.95
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.4% below Wall St target ($139.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.59 -
$101.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.48
Resistance Level
$115.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.38
Wall Street Target
$139.20
(+36.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.4%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.39
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$87.31
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$80.76
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$101.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$301.68
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$143.78
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$122.21
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.16
Bull Case
$133.93
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.5%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$121.75
(+19%)
Market implied 20.5%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$68.73
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$128.77
(+26.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-13
Jason Lippert
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-24
Jamie Schnur
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-23
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