LOMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOMA - Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima American Depositary Shares (ADSs), each representing five ordinary shares
$11.15
-0.37 (-3.21%)
▼
5d:
-5.51%
30d:
-1.85%
90d:
-3.55%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LOMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LOMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.15
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.51
10.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOMA is currently trading at $11.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.20 to $12.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.70 (+31.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.70 (+31.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.20 -
$12.08
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($14.70)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.20 -
$12.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.95
Resistance Level
$12.65
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.65
Wall Street Target
$14.70
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.80
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.47
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$10.14
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$11.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$28.60
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 17.1%)
$17.92
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 17.1%)
$15.23
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.12
Bull Case
$13.46
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$11.15
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$8.53
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$12.26
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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