LOMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOMA - Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima American Depositary Shares (ADSs), each representing five ordinary shares
$9.75
-0.34 (-3.37%)
▼
5d:
-3.85%
30d:
+0.72%
90d:
-22.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: LOMA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: LOMA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.59
28.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOMA is currently trading at $9.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.44 to $10.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1307.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.30 (+46.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.30 (+46.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.44 -
$10.45
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 46.7% below Wall St target ($14.30)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.44 -
$10.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.59
Resistance Level
$10.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.67
Wall Street Target
$14.30
(+46.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1307.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.30
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$8.87
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$8.47
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$9.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 26.9%)
$31.70
(+225%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 26.9%)
$19.91
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 26.9%)
$16.92
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.25
Bull Case
$22.20
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.4
Base Case
$20.18
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.4
Bear Case
$6.86
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$11.24
(+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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