LOMA
Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima American Depositary Shares (ADSs), each representing five ordinary shares
Cement, Hydraulic
LOMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.74
-0.24 (-2.67%)
▼
5d:
-1.8%
30d:
-12.6%
90d:
-9.71%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
63/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$9.03 – $9.93
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.4x
CHEAP
vs 14.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.00
+60.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.57 / $9.32
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LOMA appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.8% annual earnings decline despite 1307% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.05
33.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOMA is currently trading at $8.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.03 to $9.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1307.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOMA scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+60.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOMA scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+60.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.03 -
$9.93
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.03 -
$9.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$8.57
Resistance Level
$9.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (83/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.2% below Wall St target ($14.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 83/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.42
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+60.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1307.4%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 14.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.15
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$7.59
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$7.08
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$8.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 66.4%)
$51.30
(+487%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 66.4%)
$29.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 66.4%)
$25.07
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$19.76
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$17.96
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$6.11
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$10.79
(+23.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.5%
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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