LOMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOMA - Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima American Depositary Shares (ADSs), each representing five ordinary shares
$11.90
-0.02 (-0.13%)
▼
5d:
-2.98%
30d:
+5.36%
90d:
+10.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOMA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.28
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.59
5.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOMA is currently trading at $11.89, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.98 to $12.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $10.95, while resistance sits at $12.65.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.70 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $10.95, while resistance sits at $12.65.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.70 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$10.98 -
$12.16
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($14.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.98 -
$12.16
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.95
Resistance Level
$12.65
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.58
Wall Street Target
$14.70
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.77
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$11.63
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$11.49
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$11.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$28.60
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 17.1%)
$19.14
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 17.1%)
$16.27
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.20
Bull Case
$14.38
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$11.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$9.11
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$12.34
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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