LOMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOMA - Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima American Depositary Shares (ADSs), each representing five ordinary shares
$9.31
-0.01 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-1.38%
30d:
-21.9%
90d:
-17.54%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LOMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LOMA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.68
31.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOMA is currently trading at $9.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.78 to $11.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 319.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOMA scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.30 (+53.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOMA scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.30 (+53.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.78 -
$11.71
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.6% below Wall St target ($14.30)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.78 -
$11.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.11
Resistance Level
$10.46
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.10
Wall Street Target
$14.30
(+53.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
319.7%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 14.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.71
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$8.16
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$7.63
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$9.28
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 26.9%)
$31.54
(+239%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 26.9%)
$19.01
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 26.9%)
$16.16
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.25
Bull Case
$20.50
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$18.64
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.3
Bear Case
$6.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$11.31
(+21.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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