LOMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOMA - Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima American Depositary Shares (ADSs), each representing five ordinary shares
$9.03
-0.17 (-1.85%)
▼
5d:
-3.22%
30d:
-10.33%
90d:
-23.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LOMA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LOMA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.40
32.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOMA is currently trading at $9.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.35 to $10.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1307.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOMA scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.30 (+58.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOMA scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.30 (+58.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.35 -
$10.04
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.4% below Wall St target ($14.30)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.35 -
$10.04
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.77
Resistance Level
$9.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.73
Wall Street Target
$14.30
(+58.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1307.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.43
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$7.88
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$7.36
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$9.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 26.9%)
$32.06
(+255%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 26.9%)
$18.44
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 26.9%)
$15.67
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.25
Bull Case
$20.24
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.5
Base Case
$18.40
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.8
Bear Case
$6.26
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$11.08
(+22.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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