LOMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOMA - Loma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anónima American Depositary Shares (ADSs), each representing five ordinary shares
$11.48
-0.37 (-3.12%)
▼
5d:
+0.7%
30d:
+1.41%
90d:
+3.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LOMA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LOMA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.01
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.43
7.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOMA is currently trading at $11.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.24 to $11.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.05, while resistance sits at $12.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: LOMA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.70 (+24.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOMA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.05, while resistance sits at $12.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: LOMA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.70 (+24.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.24 -
$11.75
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($14.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.24 -
$11.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.06
Resistance Level
$12.37
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.50
Wall Street Target
$14.70
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.73
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$11.61
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$11.50
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$11.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 17.1%)
$27.32
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 17.1%)
$19.04
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 17.1%)
$16.19
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.92 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.16
Bull Case
$13.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$11.48
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$8.78
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$12.17
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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