DORIAN LPG (LPG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LPG - DORIAN LPG LTD

DEEP SEA FOREIGN TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT
$51.30
0.14 (0.27%) ▲
5d: -5.49%
30d: -11.0%
90d: +19.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LPG trades at premium valuation expecting 7.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.96
Based on -6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.60
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LPG is currently trading at $51.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.64 to $56.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LPG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $52.64 - $56.88
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.60)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.1% growth expectation is conservative given 1264% recent growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.5%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $52.64 - $56.88
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $50.80
Resistance Level $56.76
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.25
Wall Street Target $55.60 (+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 124.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1263.5%
Profit Margin 55.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.1% premium
PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 11.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $54.79 (+7%)
2-Year Target $58.68 (+15%)
3-Year Target $62.85 (+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→12) PE COMPRESSION $51.16 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -16.2%) $51.98 (+2%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: -16.2%) $37.30 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 11.6, Growth: -16.2%) $30.36 (-41%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.55
Bull Case $29.94 (-42%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case $27.22 (-47%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case $37.01 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 03, 2026 10:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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