LTH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LTH - Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-MEMBERSHIP SPORTS & RECREATION CLUBS
$43.23
0.14 (0.32%) ▲
5d: -0.64%
30d: -0.57%
90d: +33.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 2, 2026 at $43.53 · last confirmed Sep 2, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: LTH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.14
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LTH is currently trading at $43.23, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.21 to $45.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.49, while resistance sits at $46.24.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.43 (+28.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $43.21 - $45.28
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($55.43)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.7% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $43.21 - $45.28
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $41.49
Resistance Level $46.24
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 4, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.18
Wall Street Target $55.43 (+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.6%
Profit Margin 13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.7% premium
PE vs Historical 21.2 vs 17.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $46.13 (+7%)
2-Year Target $49.22 (+14%)
3-Year Target $52.51 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→17) PE COMPRESSION $43.15 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.2, Growth: 16.9%) $69.10 (+60%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.9%) $66.02 (+53%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 16.9%) $56.12 (+30%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.81
Bull Case $53.46 (+24%)
Analyst growth 12.8%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case $48.60 (+12%)
Market implied 12.8%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case $29.30 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 05, 2026 6:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Parham Javaheri SELL 11060 shares 2026-03-13

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