LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. SERVICES-MEMBERSHIP SPORTS & RECREATION CLUBS

Life Time Group (LTH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$47.52
+0.10 (+0.21%) ▲
5d: +0.27% 30d: +19.82% 90d: +7.24%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$40.20 – $45.78
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.1x STRETCHED
vs 18.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$57.60
+21.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$43.72 / $48.61
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LTH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 11, 2026 at $47.81 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.24
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.78
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LTH is currently trading at $47.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.20 to $45.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.1) compared to its historical average (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LTH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.60 (+21.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $40.20 - $45.78
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $40.20 - $45.78
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $43.72
Resistance Level $48.61
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($57.60)
  • BEARISH: Market expects 8.6% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.14
Wall Street Target $57.60 (+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2.2%
Profit Margin 12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.6% premium
PE vs Historical 23.1 vs 18.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $51.61 (+9%)
2-Year Target $56.04 (+18%)
3-Year Target $60.86 (+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→18) PE COMPRESSION $47.61 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.1, Growth: 15.7%) $73.51 (+55%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.7%) $63.08 (+33%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 15.7%) $53.62 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.85
Bull Case $57.90 (+22%)
Analyst growth 11.0%, PE expands to 28.2
Base Case $52.64 (+11%)
Market implied 11.0%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case $32.25 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LTH)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A single bullish message on StockTwits indicates positive sentiment towards $LTH, with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes: Strong trader sentiment towards $LTH
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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