LTH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LTH - Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-MEMBERSHIP SPORTS & RECREATION CLUBS
$45.11
0.39 (0.87%) ▲
5d: -0.33%
30d: +7.58%
90d: +36.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 13, 2026 at $44.10 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 6.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LTH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.47
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.69
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LTH is currently trading at $45.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.38 to $45.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LTH scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.43 (+22.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $42.38 - $45.08
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.9% below Wall St target ($55.43)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.8% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $42.38 - $45.08
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.45
Resistance Level $46.31
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.10
Wall Street Target $55.43 (+22.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.6%
Profit Margin 13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.8% premium
PE vs Historical 22.1 vs 17.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $49.08 (+9%)
2-Year Target $53.40 (+18%)
3-Year Target $58.10 (+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→17) PE COMPRESSION $45.22 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 16.9%) $72.11 (+60%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.9%) $65.50 (+45%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 16.9%) $55.67 (+23%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case $54.88 (+22%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case $49.89 (+11%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case $30.41 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Parham Javaheri SELL 11060 shares 2026-03-13
Erik Weaver SELL 1329 shares 2026-03-03

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