LTH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LTH - Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-MEMBERSHIP SPORTS & RECREATION CLUBS
$37.55
0.22 (0.59%) ▲
5d: +9.64%
30d: +13.96%
90d: +41.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTH trades at premium valuation expecting 5.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.72
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.25
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LTH is currently trading at $37.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.08 to $35.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LTH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.36 (+10.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $32.08 - $35.19
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.8%

Protect Your Profits

LTH is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.7% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.36)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.9% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $32.08 - $35.19
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.03
Resistance Level $33.95
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.14
Wall Street Target $41.36 (+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.7%
Profit Margin 12.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.9% premium
PE vs Historical 19.1 vs 16.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $39.53 (+6%)
2-Year Target $41.86 (+12%)
3-Year Target $44.33 (+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→16) PE COMPRESSION $37.29 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.5%) $63.73 (+71%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 14.5%) $56.01 (+50%)
Bear: (PE: 16.1, Growth: 14.5%) $47.11 (+26%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case $46.31 (+24%)
Analyst growth 14.0%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case $42.10 (+13%)
Market implied 14.0%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case $25.11 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Parham Javaheri SELL 11060 shares 2026-03-13
Erik Weaver SELL 1329 shares 2026-03-03
Erik Weaver SELL 1493 shares 2026-02-03

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