Life Time Group (LTH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTH - Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
$40.99
0.63 (1.56%)
▲
5d:
+2.55%
30d:
-5.75%
90d:
-0.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 1, 2026 at $40.36 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026
Strength: 9.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTH is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: LTH is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.49
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTH is currently trading at $40.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.84 to $43.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTH scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.07 (+36.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTH scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.07 (+36.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.84 -
$43.44
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LTH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.8% below Wall St target ($56.07)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.84 -
$43.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.52
Resistance Level
$41.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.08
Wall Street Target
$56.07
(+36.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.6%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.79
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$44.68
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$46.64
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.12
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.4%)
$65.62
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.4%)
$64.59
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 16.4%)
$54.90
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.85
Bull Case
$48.99
(+20%)
Analyst growth 10.4%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$44.54
(+9%)
Market implied 10.4%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$27.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LTH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LTH price and gamma walls.
