Magnera (MAGN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MAGN - Magnera Corporation

PAPER MILLS
$11.84
0.64 (5.71%) ▲
5d: +5.24%
30d: +0.17%
90d: -13.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: MAGN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -15.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.76
50.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MAGN is currently trading at $11.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.16 to $11.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.8) compared to its historical average (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MAGN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: MAGN scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+26.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $11.16 - $11.87
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($15.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.16 - $11.87
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.51
Resistance Level $11.94
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.79
Wall Street Target $15.00 (+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.1%
Profit Margin -3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -15.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.8 vs 9.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -15.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.66 (-10%)
2-Year Target $9.59 (-19%)
3-Year Target $8.63 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→10) $14.32 (+21%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.3%) $94.13 (+695%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: 32.3%) $27.42 (+132%)
Bear: (PE: 4.9, Growth: 32.3%) $23.31 (+97%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 9.6
Stabilization Target: $19.65 (+65.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +65.9%
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
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NEUTRAL

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