MBUU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBUU - Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
$27.28
-0.24 (-0.87%)
▼
5d:
-3.4%
30d:
+13.86%
90d:
-2.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBUU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBUU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.88
31.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $27.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.27 to $28.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.39, while resistance sits at $29.76.
Market Sentiment: MBUU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+28.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.39, while resistance sits at $29.76.
Market Sentiment: MBUU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+28.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.27 -
$28.29
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.3% below Wall St target ($35.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.27 -
$28.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.39
Resistance Level
$29.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.83
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+28.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.59
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$24.00
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$22.51
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$27.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 71.4%)
$186.18
(+583%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 71.4%)
$92.07
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 71.4%)
$78.26
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$32.98
(+20.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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