MBUU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBUU - Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
$29.50
-0.03 (-0.10%)
▼
5d:
+0.58%
30d:
+8.34%
90d:
+9.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MBUU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MBUU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.20
22.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $29.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.96 to $29.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.36, while resistance sits at $30.42.
Market Sentiment: MBUU scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.33 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.36, while resistance sits at $30.42.
Market Sentiment: MBUU scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.33 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.96 -
$29.37
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.96 -
$29.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.36
Resistance Level
$30.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.67
Wall Street Target
$35.33
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.79
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$28.10
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$27.43
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$29.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 72.1%)
$171.19
(+480%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 72.1%)
$99.56
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 72.1%)
$84.63
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$31.59
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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