MBUU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBUU - Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
$26.77
0.03 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
+3.52%
30d:
+0.62%
90d:
+5.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MBUU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MBUU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.81
31.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $26.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.93 to $27.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MBUU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.33 (+32.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MBUU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.33 (+32.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$25.93 -
$27.96
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.0% below Wall St target ($35.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.93 -
$27.96
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.15
Resistance Level
$29.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.59
Wall Street Target
$35.33
(+32.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.19
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$23.70
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$22.31
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$26.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 72.1%)
$185.78
(+594%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 72.1%)
$90.35
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 72.1%)
$76.80
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$32.10
(+19.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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