Malibu Boats (MBUU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBUU - Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
$24.89
-0.17 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
-6.71%
30d:
-15.17%
90d:
-8.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MBUU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MBUU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.89
34.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $24.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.68 to $29.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MBUU scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.56 (+38.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MBUU scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.56 (+38.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.68 -
$29.61
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.8% below Wall St target ($34.56)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.68 -
$29.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.48
Resistance Level
$29.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.85
Wall Street Target
$34.56
(+38.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.0%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 12.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.05
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$21.34
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$19.76
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$24.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 72.1%)
$172.04
(+591%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 72.1%)
$84.00
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 72.1%)
$71.40
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.71 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.56
Bull Case
$30.05
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$24.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$19.04
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$31.34
(+25.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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