MBUU
Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
SHIP & BOAT BUILDING & REPAIRING
Malibu Boats (MBUU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$20.50
-0.05 (-0.24%)
▼
5d:
-17.17%
30d:
-6.61%
90d:
-29.7%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$21.08 – $23.38
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.1x
CHEAP
vs 11.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$32.13
+56.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$19.46 / $25.33
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MBUU is down 17.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.06
43.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $20.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.08 to $23.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.46, while resistance sits at $25.33.
Market Sentiment: MBUU scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.12 (+56.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.46, while resistance sits at $25.33.
Market Sentiment: MBUU scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.12 (+56.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.08 -
$23.38
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.08 -
$23.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$19.46
Resistance Level
$25.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.7% below Wall St target ($32.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.11
Wall Street Target
$32.13
(+56.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.0%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 11.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.45
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$16.61
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→12)
$21.74
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 72.1%)
$169.40
(+726%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 72.1%)
$69.19
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 72.1%)
$58.81
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$45.21
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.8
Base Case
$41.10
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.9
Bear Case
$13.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$29.82
(+45.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MBUU)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Malibu Boats to showcase new models at Miami International Boat Show, including the Pursuit DC 286 and Pathfinder 2800.
Key Retail Themes:
New product debuts
Miami International Boat Show
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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