Malibu Boats (MBUU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBUU - Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
$22.66
0.82 (3.75%)
â˛
5d:
-0.09%
30d:
-2.37%
90d:
-18.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MBUU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MBUU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.67
38.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $22.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.02 to $23.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBUU scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.12 (+55.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBUU scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.12 (+55.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.02 -
$23.68
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 55.0% below Wall St target ($35.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.02 -
$23.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.16
Resistance Level
$23.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.97
Wall Street Target
$35.13
(+55.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.0%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 12.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.60
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$18.72
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$17.02
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â12)
$22.78
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 72.1%)
$169.40
(+648%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 72.1%)
$76.48
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 72.1%)
$65.01
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 8.73 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.60
Bull Case
$27.36
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$22.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$17.33
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$30.33
(+33.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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