MEG
Montrose Environmental Group, Inc.
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Montrose Environmental Group (MEG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$22.14
+1.09 (+5.18%)
▲
5d:
+4.68%
30d:
-1.03%
90d:
-0.63%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.6x
CHEAP
vs 15.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$35.00
+58.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.10 / $22.04
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MEG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.87
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.89
3.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEG is currently trading at $22.14, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEG scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+58.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEG scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+58.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
83.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$20.10
Resistance Level
$22.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 1, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 58.1% below Wall St target ($35.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.56
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+58.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 15.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.99
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$19.90
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$18.86
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$22.11
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$45.58
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$29.98
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$25.48
(+15%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$25.95
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MEG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A single bullish message on StockTwits indicates optimism towards $MEG stock at the current price level of $23.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MEG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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