MLI
Mueller Industries, Inc.
ROLLING DRAWING & EXTRUDING OF NONFERROUS METALS
Mueller Industries (MLI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$54.84
-0.27 (-0.49%)
▼
5d:
+4.58%
30d:
-9.73%
90d:
-16.78%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$54.32 – $60.94
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.8x
CHEAP
vs 14.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$78.00
+42.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$52.25 / $55.90
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.22
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.99
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLI is currently trading at $54.84, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.32 to $60.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MLI scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+42.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MLI scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+42.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$54.32 -
$60.94
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$54.32 -
$60.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$52.25
Resistance Level
$55.90
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (86/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.2% below Wall St target ($78.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 86/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.79
Wall Street Target
$78.00
(+42.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Profit Margin
17.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.28
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$47.94
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$44.83
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$54.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$129.91
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$77.15
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$65.57
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.91
Bull Case
$72.09
(+32%)
Analyst growth 18.9%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$65.54
(+20%)
Market implied 18.9%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$37.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$66.96
(+22.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MLI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate a bullish sentiment towards $MLI, with one user predicting a price jump to 90. No recent news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish price prediction
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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