Mueller Industries (MLI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLI - Mueller Industries, Inc.
$60.48
0.32 (0.53%)
▲
5d:
-3.94%
30d:
-11.42%
90d:
-55.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MLI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MLI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.44
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLI is currently trading at $60.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.86 to $67.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MLI scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+32.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MLI scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+32.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$61.86 -
$67.50
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.3% below Wall St target ($80.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.86 -
$67.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.00
Resistance Level
$64.61
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.81
Wall Street Target
$80.00
(+32.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Profit Margin
18.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.15
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$57.85
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$56.58
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$60.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.3%)
$100.20
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 4.3%)
$68.59
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 4.3%)
$58.30
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.63
Bull Case
$79.85
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.7%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$72.59
(+20%)
Market implied 20.7%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$40.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$64.82
(+7.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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