MLI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLI - Mueller Industries, Inc.
$131.35
0.78 (0.60%)
▲
5d:
-3.27%
30d:
+0.38%
90d:
+10.65%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.39
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLI is currently trading at $131.35, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $130.98 to $138.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $123.94, while resistance sits at $138.83.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $149.00 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $123.94, while resistance sits at $138.83.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $149.00 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$130.98 -
$138.72
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($149.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$130.98 -
$138.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.94
Resistance Level
$138.83
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.01
Wall Street Target
$149.00
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.4%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.74
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$132.14
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$132.54
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$131.55
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 4.2%)
$216.69
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 4.2%)
$148.46
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 4.2%)
$126.19
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.63
Bull Case
$171.30
(+34%)
Analyst growth 14.7%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$155.72
(+22%)
Market implied 14.7%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$92.34
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 3:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Jay Goldman
SELL
4430 shares
2026-02-13
John B Hansen
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-09
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