Modine Manufacturing (MOD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co
$137.28
-12.50 (-8.35%)
▼
5d:
-10.86%
30d:
-28.91%
90d:
-43.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MOD is down 10.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MOD is down 10.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$359.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.99
38.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $137.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $159.43 to $193.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (29.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $142.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MOD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $302.12 (+101.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $142.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MOD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $302.12 (+101.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$159.43 -
$193.98
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 101.7% below Wall St target ($302.12)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$159.43 -
$193.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$142.98
Resistance Level
$187.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.30
Wall Street Target
$302.13
(+101.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.2%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 29.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.80
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$121.32
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$109.19
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→30)
$159.71
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.3, Growth: 51.6%)
$505.51
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 51.6%)
$494.44
(+230%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 51.6%)
$420.27
(+181%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.75
Bull Case
$180.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case
$149.78
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$114.58
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 29.7
Stabilization Target:
$219.09
(+46.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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