MOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co
$201.06
7.15 (3.69%)
▲
5d:
-16.85%
30d:
-17.76%
90d:
-21.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MOD is down 16.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MOD is down 16.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$359.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.99
9.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $201.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.48 to $265.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.3) compared to its historical average (31.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $170.21, while resistance sits at $255.80. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: MOD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $340.86 (+69.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $170.21, while resistance sits at $255.80. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: MOD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $340.86 (+69.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$214.48 -
$265.36
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 69.5% below Wall St target ($340.86)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$214.48 -
$265.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$170.21
Resistance Level
$255.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.26
Wall Street Target
$340.86
(+69.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.4%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 31.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$192.01
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$183.37
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$175.12
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→31)
$201.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 51.6%)
$678.58
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 51.6%)
$516.09
(+157%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 51.6%)
$438.68
(+118%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 23.58 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.52
Bull Case
$242.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$201.06
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.6
Bear Case
$153.81
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.3 to 31.3
Stabilization Target:
$230.89
(+14.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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