Modine Manufacturing (MOD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$106.67
+3.60 (+3.49%)
▲
5d:
+8.23%
30d:
-38.19%
90d:
-47.58%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect MOD Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$113.06 – $170.94
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.5x
CHEAP
vs 28.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$210.89
+97.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$87.84 / $142.55
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: MOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$359.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.99
52.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $106.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.06 to $170.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (28.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $87.84, while resistance sits at $142.55. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MOD scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $210.89 (+97.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $87.84, while resistance sits at $142.55. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MOD scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $210.89 (+97.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$113.06 -
$170.94
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$113.06 -
$170.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$87.84
Resistance Level
$142.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 97.7% below Wall St target ($210.89)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.46
Wall Street Target
$210.89
(+97.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.5%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 28.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$86.40
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$77.76
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→29)
$154.87
(+45%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 51.6%)
$494.44
(+364%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 51.6%)
$360.01
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 51.6%)
$306.01
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.39
Bull Case
$226.75
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.4
Base Case
$206.14
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.1
Bear Case
$70.09
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 28.8
Stabilization Target:
$212.45
(+99.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+99.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MOD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $MOD with no recent Yahoo Finance news available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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