MOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co
$240.83
-5.08 (-2.07%)
▼
5d:
+2.4%
30d:
-6.72%
90d:
-0.26%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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2 traders called MOD this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MOD is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MOD is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$359.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $240.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $248.61 to $293.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.3) is in line with its historical norms (31.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $257.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MOD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $340.86 (+38.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $257.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MOD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $340.86 (+38.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$248.61 -
$293.43
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.6% below Wall St target ($340.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$248.61 -
$293.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$257.24
Resistance Level
$318.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.34
Wall Street Target
$340.86
(+38.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.4%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
33.3 vs 31.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$251.32
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$256.85
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$262.50
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$245.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.3, Growth: 51.6%)
$829.95
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 51.6%)
$542.24
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 51.6%)
$460.90
(+87%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 31.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.92
Bull Case
$296.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.6
Base Case
$245.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$188.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Suresh V Garimella
SELL
1100 shares
2026-02-02
Suresh V Garimella
SELL
1100 shares
2026-01-22
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