Modine Manufacturing (MOD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co
$189.30
10.04 (5.60%)
â˛
5d:
+1.43%
30d:
-5.13%
90d:
-30.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $192.35 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MOD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MOD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$359.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.99
15.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $189.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $183.28 to $201.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.7) compared to its historical average (30.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $172.84, while resistance sits at $198.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $310.29 (+63.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $172.84, while resistance sits at $198.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $310.29 (+63.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$183.28 -
$201.43
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 63.9% below Wall St target ($310.29)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$183.28 -
$201.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$172.84
Resistance Level
$198.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.66
Wall Street Target
$310.29
(+63.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.2%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 30.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.70
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$168.69
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$159.25
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26â31)
$189.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 51.6%)
$638.89
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 51.6%)
$502.15
(+165%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 51.6%)
$426.83
(+126%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 25.13 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.53
Bull Case
$228.58
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$189.30
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$144.81
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.7 to 30.5
Stabilization Target:
$224.99
(+18.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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