Modine Manufacturing (MOD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co
$178.70
-10.52 (-5.56%)
âŧ
5d:
-9.78%
30d:
-0.45%
90d:
-24.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 1, 2026 at $189.21 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MOD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MOD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$359.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.99
19.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $178.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $180.15 to $193.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.6) compared to its historical average (30.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $173.07, while resistance sits at $203.22. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $310.29 (+64.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $173.07, while resistance sits at $203.22. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $310.29 (+64.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$180.15 -
$193.82
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 64.0% below Wall St target ($310.29)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$180.15 -
$193.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$173.07
Resistance Level
$203.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.65
Wall Street Target
$310.29
(+64.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.2%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 30.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$179.37
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$170.04
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$161.20
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26â30)
$189.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 51.6%)
$638.58
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 51.6%)
$507.88
(+168%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 51.6%)
$431.70
(+128%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.27
Bull Case
$228.47
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case
$189.21
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$144.75
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.7 to 30.1
Stabilization Target:
$222.04
(+17.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MOD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOD price and gamma walls.
