MOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co
$197.68
6.94 (3.64%)
▲
5d:
-5.64%
30d:
-20.81%
90d:
-20.96%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $193.44 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$359.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.99
11.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $197.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $191.96 to $232.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.8) compared to its historical average (30.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $188.03, while resistance sits at $219.98. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MOD scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $310.29 (+57.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $188.03, while resistance sits at $219.98. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MOD scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $310.29 (+57.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$191.96 -
$232.18
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.0% below Wall St target ($310.29)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$191.96 -
$232.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$188.03
Resistance Level
$219.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.80
Wall Street Target
$310.29
(+57.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.2%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.8 vs 30.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$188.39
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$179.53
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$171.10
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→31)
$197.28
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.8, Growth: 51.6%)
$667.17
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 51.6%)
$499.66
(+153%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 51.6%)
$424.71
(+115%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 26.32 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.51
Bull Case
$238.70
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.6
Base Case
$197.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.3
Bear Case
$151.23
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.8 to 30.9
Stabilization Target:
$227.94
(+15.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOD price and gamma walls.
