MOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co
$295.58
-1.79 (-0.60%)
▼
5d:
+7.68%
30d:
+14.86%
90d:
+50.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MOD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MOD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$359.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $295.58, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $260.97 to $294.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 40.1) compared to its historical average (30.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $257.24, while resistance sits at $318.61.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $340.86 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $257.24, while resistance sits at $318.61.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $340.86 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$260.97 -
$294.82
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($340.86)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$260.97 -
$294.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$257.24
Resistance Level
$318.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.07
Wall Street Target
$340.86
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.4%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.1% premium
PE vs Historical
40.1 vs 30.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$322.48
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$351.82
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$383.84
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$296.00
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.1, Growth: 51.6%)
$997.58
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 51.6%)
$542.24
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 51.6%)
$460.90
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 39.22 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.54
Bull Case
$356.91
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$295.58
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 39.2
Bear Case
$226.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 35.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Suresh V Garimella
SELL
1100 shares
2026-02-02
Suresh V Garimella
SELL
1100 shares
2026-01-22
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