Marqeta (MQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MQ - Marqeta, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$18.80
0.05 (0.27%)
▲
5d:
+3.41%
30d:
+18.09%
90d:
+12.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MQ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MQ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MQ is currently trading at $18.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.09 to $18.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 37.6) compared to its historical average (42.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.87, while resistance sits at $19.38.
Market Sentiment: MQ scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.87, while resistance sits at $19.38.
Market Sentiment: MQ scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.09 -
$18.24
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.65)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.09 -
$18.24
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.87
Resistance Level
$19.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.60
Wall Street Target
$20.65
(+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.6 vs 42.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.99
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$17.22
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$16.48
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→43)
$18.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.6, Growth: 85.2%)
$63.45
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 85.2%)
$33.51
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 85.2%)
$28.49
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 30.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.62
Bull Case
$22.70
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.0
Base Case
$18.80
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$14.38
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.6 to 42.9
Stabilization Target:
$21.45
(+14.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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