Marqeta (MQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$18.34
-0.06 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
+3.03%
30d:
+0.27%
90d:
+16.96%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$17.19 – $18.78
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
37.1x
CHEAP
vs 42.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$20.78
+13.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$16.97 / $18.94
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: MQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.61
Based on -29.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MQ is currently trading at $18.34, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.19 to $18.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 37.0) compared to its historical average (42.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.97, while resistance sits at $18.94.
Market Sentiment: MQ scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.78 (+13.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.97, while resistance sits at $18.94.
Market Sentiment: MQ scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.78 (+13.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$17.19 -
$18.78
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$17.19 -
$18.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$16.97
Resistance Level
$18.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.78)
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.05
Wall Street Target
$20.78
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.1 vs 42.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.53
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$16.76
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$16.02
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→42)
$18.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.1, Growth: -62.5%)
$13.37
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -62.5%)
$7.17
(-61%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -62.5%)
$6.09
(-67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.22
Bull Case
$10.12
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$9.20
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$12.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.1 to 42.4
Stabilization Target:
$20.99
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MQ)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A single bullish message on StockTwits with a positive tone towards $MQ.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive sentiment towards $MQ
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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