MRNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MRNA - Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$140.34
2.35 (1.70%) ▲
5d: +1.04%
30d: +156.0%
90d: +204.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 24, 2026 at $138.93 · last confirmed Aug 31, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MRNA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MRNA is currently trading at $140.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.87 to $128.77.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MRNA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.13, while resistance sits at $176.66.

Market Sentiment: MRNA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $106.62. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $44.87 - $128.77
Company Quality Score 36/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation MODERATE
Confidence Score 5.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.0% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BEARISH: Trading 24.0% above Wall St target ($106.62)
  • WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $44.87 - $128.77
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $62.13
Resistance Level $176.66
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -28.17
Wall Street Target $106.63 (-24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.1%
Profit Margin -141.4%
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Last updated: September 01, 2026 3:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MRNA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRNA price and gamma walls.

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