Moderna (MRNA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MRNA - Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$190.01
1.07 (0.57%) ▲
5d: -4.46%
30d: +25.99%
90d: +132.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 28, 2026 at $197.18 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MRNA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MRNA is currently trading at $190.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $138.85 to $183.61.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MRNA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $159.06, while resistance sits at $208.90.

Market Sentiment: MRNA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $119.56. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $138.85 - $183.61
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 15.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 36.7% above Wall St target ($119.56)
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $138.85 - $183.61
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $159.06
Resistance Level $208.90
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -39.47
Wall Street Target $119.56 (-36.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.1%
Profit Margin -141.4%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MRNA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRNA price and gamma walls.

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