Moderna (MRNA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MRNA - Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$202.63
-43.18 (-17.57%) β–Ό
5d: -14.32%
30d: +11.27%
90d: +274.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026 13d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 22, 2026 at $225.75 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026

Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MRNA is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MRNA is currently trading at $202.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.44 to $223.91.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MRNA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $180.80, while resistance sits at $254.48. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: MRNA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $127.16. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $168.44 - $223.91
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 34.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-17.6%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 37.2% above Wall St target ($127.16)
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $168.44 - $223.91
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $180.80
Resistance Level $254.48
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -42.37
Wall Street Target $127.16 (-37.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.1%
Profit Margin -141.4%
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MRNA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRNA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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