Moderna (MRNA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MRNA - Moderna, Inc. Common Stock
$202.63
-43.18 (-17.57%)
βΌ
5d:
-14.32%
30d:
+11.27%
90d:
+274.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
13d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 22, 2026 at $225.75 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MRNA is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MRNA is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRNA is currently trading at $202.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.44 to $223.91.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRNA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $180.80, while resistance sits at $254.48. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MRNA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $127.16. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRNA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $180.80, while resistance sits at $254.48. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MRNA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $127.16. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$168.44 -
$223.91
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
34.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MRNA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-17.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 37.2% above Wall St target ($127.16)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$168.44 -
$223.91
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$180.80
Resistance Level
$254.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-42.37
Wall Street Target
$127.16
(-37.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-85.1%
Profit Margin
-141.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MRNA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MRNA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRNA price and gamma walls.