MRNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MRNA - Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$145.13
11.81 (8.86%) β–²
5d: +129.2%
30d: +154.52%
90d: +207.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your MRNA Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $59.17 · last confirmed Aug 18, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MRNA is 49.5% above its trading range ($97.08). While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MRNA is currently trading at $145.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.74 to $97.08.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MRNA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.41, while resistance sits at $176.66. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: MRNA scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $89.33. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $40.74 - $97.08
Company Quality Score 40/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation MODERATE
Confidence Score 5.3%

Protect Your Profits

MRNA is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+49.5% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.9%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 38.4% above Wall St target ($89.33)
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $40.74 - $97.08
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $58.41
Resistance Level $176.66
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -29.84
Wall Street Target $89.33 (-38.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.1%
Profit Margin -141.4%
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:04 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MRNA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRNA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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