NCMI
National CineMedia, Inc.
SERVICES-ADVERTISING
National CineMedia (NCMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$1.62
-0.04 (-2.41%)
▼
5d:
+7.64%
30d:
-23.58%
90d:
-27.03%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$1.67 – $2.16
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.5x
CHEAP
vs 29.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$4.44
+173.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1.43 / $1.87
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NCMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 23.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCMI is currently trading at $1.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.67 to $2.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (29.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCMI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.43, while resistance sits at $1.87.
Market Sentiment: NCMI scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.44 (+173.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCMI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.43, while resistance sits at $1.87.
Market Sentiment: NCMI scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.44 (+173.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$1.67 -
$2.16
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$1.67 -
$2.16
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$1.43
Resistance Level
$1.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 173.9% below Wall St target ($4.44)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.50
Wall Street Target
$4.44
(+173.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.8%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 29.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.31
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.18
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→30)
$2.62
(+62%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -29.4%)
$1.74
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: -29.4%)
$1.18
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: -29.4%)
$1.00
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 29.9
Stabilization Target:
$3.59
(+121.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+121.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NCMI)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate bullish sentiment towards $NCMI with 100.0% of messages being positive.
Key Retail Themes:
anticipation of price breakthrough
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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