NTNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NTNX - Nutanix, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$67.64
1.31 (1.97%) ▲
5d: +1.55%
30d: +28.52%
90d: +51.35%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026 2d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $64.46 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NTNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.42
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.21
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NTNX is currently trading at $67.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.43 to $64.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.8) compared to its historical average (22.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: NTNX scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $55.43 - $64.94
Company Quality Score 29/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 20.5%

Protect Your Profits

NTNX is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($61.71)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.5% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $55.43 - $64.94
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $62.33
Resistance Level $68.80
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.83
Wall Street Target $61.71 (-8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.2%
Profit Margin 10.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.5% premium
PE vs Historical 30.8 vs 22.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $75.42 (+12%)
2-Year Target $84.09 (+24%)
3-Year Target $93.76 (+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→22) PE COMPRESSION $67.52 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 30.8, Growth: 13.8%) $99.64 (+47%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.8%) $64.87 (-4%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.8%) $55.14 (-19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 30.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.25
Bull Case $81.68 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.6
Base Case $67.64 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.1
Bear Case $51.74 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NTNX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTNX price and gamma walls.

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