Is NTNX stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, NTNX is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NTNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of NTNX stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for NTNX to be between $66.72 and $69.85. The current price is $71.52.

What is the analyst price target for NTNX?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for NTNX is $76.76. This implies a potential upside of 7.3% from current levels.

Nutanix (NTNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NTNX - Nutanix, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$71.52

1.11 (1.58%) ▲

5d: +4.27%

30d: +7.24%

90d: +39.47%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 24, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 30, 2026 at $70.41 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NTNX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 14.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$78.96

Based on 9.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$49.03

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NTNX is currently trading at $71.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.72 to $69.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.5) compared to its historical average (23.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $66.72 - $69.85

Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 46.2%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.76)
NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.5% growth expectation is conservative given 3148% recent growth
WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $66.72 - $69.85

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $66.25

Resistance Level $71.97

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.53

Wall Street Target $76.76 (+7.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 3148.5%

Profit Margin 52.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +11.5% premium

PE vs Historical 32.5 vs 23.4 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +11.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $79.74 (+12%)

2-Year Target $88.92 (+24%)

3-Year Target $99.14 (+39%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→23) PE COMPRESSION $71.33 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 32.5, Growth: 14.0%) $105.94 (+48%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.0%) $66.44 (-7%)

Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 14.0%) $56.48 (-21%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 13.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.20

Bull Case $38.73 (-46%)

Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 14.9

Base Case $35.21 (-51%)

Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 13.5

Bear Case $47.88 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM

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