What is the fair value of NTNX stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for NTNX to be between $63.30 and $68.20. The current price is $65.92.

What is the analyst price target for NTNX?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for NTNX is $76.41. This implies a potential upside of 15.9% from current levels.

Nutanix (NTNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NTNX - Nutanix, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$65.92

0.50 (0.76%) ▲

5d: -3.17%

30d: +1.96%

90d: +33.96%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 26, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $67.49 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: NTNX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 14.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$77.27

Based on 9.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$47.98

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NTNX is currently trading at $65.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.30 to $68.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.0) compared to its historical average (22.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.41 (+15.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $63.30 - $68.20

Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.41)
NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.5% growth expectation is conservative given 3148% recent growth
WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $63.30 - $68.20

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $65.25

Resistance Level $71.83

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.98

Wall Street Target $76.41 (+15.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 3147.8%

Profit Margin 52.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +9.5% premium

PE vs Historical 30.0 vs 22.9 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +9.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $72.18 (+10%)

2-Year Target $79.04 (+20%)

3-Year Target $86.55 (+31%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→23) PE COMPRESSION $66.11 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 30.0, Growth: 14.0%) $97.64 (+48%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.0%) $65.69 (0%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.0%) $55.84 (-15%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 12.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.17

Bull Case $35.98 (-45%)

Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 13.9

Base Case $32.71 (-50%)

Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 12.7

Bear Case $44.49 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 AM

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Advanced NTNX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTNX price and gamma walls.

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