NTNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTNX - Nutanix, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$47.89
1.28 (2.75%)
▲
5d:
-3.06%
30d:
+7.16%
90d:
+18.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NTNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NTNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.26
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTNX is currently trading at $47.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.17 to $52.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.85, while resistance sits at $56.02.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.01 (+22.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.85, while resistance sits at $56.02.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.01 (+22.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$46.17 -
$52.48
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($57.01)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.17 -
$52.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.85
Resistance Level
$56.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.28
Wall Street Target
$57.01
(+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 21.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.56
(0%)
2-Year Target
$46.52
(0%)
3-Year Target
$46.47
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
$46.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$70.32
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: 13.8%)
$68.72
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$58.41
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$102.45
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.9
Base Case
$93.14
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.0
Bear Case
$31.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 21.3
Stabilization Target:
$46.65
(+0.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTNX price and gamma walls.
