NTNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTNX - Nutanix, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$55.22
0.43 (0.78%)
▲
5d:
+5.34%
30d:
+11.2%
90d:
+60.48%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTNX trades at premium valuation expecting 5.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: NTNX trades at premium valuation expecting 5.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.93
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTNX is currently trading at $55.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.93 to $53.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.2) compared to its historical average (21.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NTNX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NTNX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$47.93 -
$53.53
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NTNX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($57.01)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.4% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.93 -
$53.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.85
Resistance Level
$56.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.21
Wall Street Target
$57.01
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
25.2 vs 21.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.20
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$61.34
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$64.66
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.2, Growth: 13.8%)
$81.41
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$70.32
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.8%)
$59.77
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 25.58 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.14
Bull Case
$66.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$54.79
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$41.91
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NTNX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTNX price and gamma walls.
