Nutanix (NTNX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NTNX - Nutanix, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$69.55
-0.56 (-0.80%) â–ŧ
5d: -0.61%
30d: -0.19%
90d: +26.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $66.94 · last confirmed Oct 16, 2026

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: NTNX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.99
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.29
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NTNX is currently trading at $69.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.19 to $72.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.9) compared to its historical average (24.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NTNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.31, while resistance sits at $75.98.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.79 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $68.19 - $72.55
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.79)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.9% growth expectation is conservative given 3148% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $68.19 - $72.55
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $66.31
Resistance Level $75.98
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 31.88
Wall Street Target $77.79 (+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 3148.5%
Profit Margin 52.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.9% premium
PE vs Historical 31.9 vs 24.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $77.05 (+10%)
2-Year Target $84.68 (+21%)
3-Year Target $93.06 (+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→24) PE COMPRESSION $70.05 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 31.9, Growth: 14.0%) $103.85 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.0%) $64.69 (-8%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.0%) $54.98 (-22%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.17
Bull Case $37.51 (-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case $34.10 (-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case $46.38 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced NTNX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTNX price and gamma walls.

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