Northern Trust (NTRS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTRS - Northern Trust Corp
$167.92
2.10 (1.27%)
▲
5d:
+1.44%
30d:
-3.77%
90d:
-8.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NTRS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NTRS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
NTRS is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; NTRS has been on it 4 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-23.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$183.07
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTRS is currently trading at $167.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $166.22 to $176.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTRS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $171.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NTRS scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTRS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $171.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NTRS scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$166.22 -
$176.12
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($182.57)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$166.22 -
$176.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$159.41
Resistance Level
$171.27
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.01
Wall Street Target
$182.57
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.5%
Profit Margin
26.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 14.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$163.55
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$159.30
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$155.16
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$168.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -3.7%)
$229.28
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: -3.7%)
$150.16
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: -3.7%)
$127.64
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.73
Bull Case
$199.26
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.5%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$181.14
(+9%)
Market implied 8.5%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$113.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$182.04
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NTRS price and gamma walls.
