Novavax (NVAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NVAX - Novavax Inc

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$9.42
0.12 (1.29%) ▲
5d: -8.9%
30d: +18.34%
90d: +4.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 10, 2026 at $9.14 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026

Strength: 6.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: NVAX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NVAX is currently trading at $9.42, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.90 to $9.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -42.0) compared to its historical average (35.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NVAX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.89, while resistance sits at $10.75.

Market Sentiment: NVAX scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+48.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $7.90 - $9.73
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 48.6% below Wall St target ($14.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.90 - $9.73
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.89
Resistance Level $10.75
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -42.00
Wall Street Target $14.00 (+48.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -76.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -38.1%
Profit Margin -59.9%
PE vs Historical -42.0 vs 35.1 CHEAP
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NVAX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NVAX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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