Novavax (NVAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVAX - Novavax Inc
$9.42
0.12 (1.29%)
â˛
5d:
-8.9%
30d:
+18.34%
90d:
+4.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 10, 2026 at $9.14 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NVAX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NVAX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVAX is currently trading at $9.42, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.90 to $9.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -42.0) compared to its historical average (35.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVAX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.89, while resistance sits at $10.75.
Market Sentiment: NVAX scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+48.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVAX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.89, while resistance sits at $10.75.
Market Sentiment: NVAX scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+48.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$7.90 -
$9.73
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
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Holding NVAX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.6% below Wall St target ($14.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.90 -
$9.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.89
Resistance Level
$10.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-42.00
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+48.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-76.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.1%
Profit Margin
-59.9%
PE vs Historical
-42.0 vs 35.1
CHEAP
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NVAX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NVAX price and gamma walls.