NVAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NVAX - Novavax Inc

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$9.00
-0.13 (-1.42%) ▼
5d: +1.35%
30d: -2.91%
90d: -6.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 7.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NVAX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NVAX is currently trading at $9.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.77 to $10.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -35.4) compared to its historical average (35.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NVAX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.35, while resistance sits at $9.99.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.11 (+56.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $8.77 - $10.22
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 56.8% below Wall St target ($14.11)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.77 - $10.22
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.35
Resistance Level $9.99
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -35.36
Wall Street Target $14.11 (+56.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -79.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -38.1%
Profit Margin -14.7%
PE vs Historical -35.4 vs 35.1 CHEAP
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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