NVAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVAX - Novavax Inc
$9.74
0.28 (2.96%)
▲
5d:
+13.79%
30d:
-4.6%
90d:
+21.45%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NVAX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NVAX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVAX is currently trading at $9.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.78 to $10.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -38.3) compared to its historical average (35.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVAX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.27, while resistance sits at $10.12.
Market Sentiment: NVAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.11 (+44.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVAX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.27, while resistance sits at $10.12.
Market Sentiment: NVAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.11 (+44.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.78 -
$10.23
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.9% below Wall St target ($14.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.78 -
$10.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.27
Resistance Level
$10.12
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-38.27
Wall Street Target
$14.11
(+44.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-79.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.1%
Profit Margin
-14.7%
PE vs Historical
-38.3 vs 35.1
CHEAP
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 02, 2026 10:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NVAX price and gamma walls.
