NWL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NWL - Newell Brands Inc.

PLASTICS PRODUCTS, NEC
$5.14
-0.03 (-0.58%) ▼
5d: -7.72%
30d: +14.73%
90d: +32.13%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your NWL Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026 16d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 8.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.92
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.30
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NWL is currently trading at $5.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.46 to $5.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NWL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $4.46 - $5.73
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.94)
  • BEARISH: Market expects 5.7% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.46 - $5.73
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.20
Resistance Level $4.59
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.71
Wall Street Target $4.94 (-3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.5%
Profit Margin -3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.7% premium
PE vs Historical 7.7 vs 6.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.43 (+6%)
2-Year Target $5.74 (+12%)
3-Year Target $6.07 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→7) PE COMPRESSION $5.12 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.8%) $22.51 (+338%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 15.8%) $7.97 (+55%)
Bear: (PE: 6.5, Growth: 15.8%) $6.72 (+31%)
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NWL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NWL price and gamma walls.

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