ODD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ODD - ODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares

Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
$18.28
2.27 (14.18%) β–²
5d: +29.37%
30d: +41.71%
90d: +66.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 9, 2026 at $16.48 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ODD is 18.6% above its trading range ($15.41). Market expects 12.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.47
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ODD is currently trading at $18.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.70 to $15.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ODD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.99, while resistance sits at $20.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 14.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: ODD scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.64. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $12.70 - $15.41
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 17.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+18.6% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+14.2%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 36.3% above Wall St target ($11.64)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.7% growth with -25.1% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.70 - $15.41
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.99
Resistance Level $20.16
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.43
Wall Street Target $11.64 (-36.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -25.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -69.6%
Profit Margin 2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +12.7% premium
PE vs Historical 18.4 vs 12.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +12.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.60 (+13%)
2-Year Target $23.22 (+27%)
3-Year Target $26.17 (+43%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18β†’13) PE COMPRESSION $18.32 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 1601.4%) $67.52 (+269%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 1601.4%) $61.70 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 12.9, Growth: 1601.4%) $43.18 (+136%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (76x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 76.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case $35.22 (+93%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 83.9
Base Case $32.02 (+75%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 76.2
Bear Case $10.89 (-40%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 64.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mann Lindsay Drucker SELL 9604 shares 2026-03-31

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Advanced ODD Option Strategies

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