Onity Group (ONIT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONIT - Onity Group Inc.
$27.26
-0.29 (-1.05%)
▼
5d:
-11.35%
30d:
-20.06%
90d:
-30.35%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ONIT is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ONIT is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.85
34.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONIT is currently trading at $27.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.25 to $35.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.3) compared to its historical average (4.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONIT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ONIT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.50 (+92.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONIT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ONIT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.50 (+92.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.25 -
$35.09
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 92.6% below Wall St target ($52.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.25 -
$35.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.06
Resistance Level
$32.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.31
Wall Street Target
$52.50
(+92.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.4%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.3 vs 4.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.11
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$23.12
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$21.30
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$27.04
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 68.0%)
$567.32
(+1981%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.3, Growth: 68.0%)
$92.00
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.8, Growth: 68.0%)
$78.20
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 1.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.82
Bull Case
$15.78
(-42%)
Analyst growth -47.9%, PE expands to 1.9
Base Case
$14.35
(-47%)
Market implied -47.9%, PE stable at 1.7
Bear Case
$18.73
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 1.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.3 to 4.2
Stabilization Target:
$34.61
(+27.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 5:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONIT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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