OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited Common Shares
SERVICES-MEMBERSHIP SPORTS & RECREATION CLUBS
OSW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.42
-0.80 (-2.48%)
▼
5d:
+0.42%
30d:
+30.21%
90d:
+16.72%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (23%)
Quality Score
28/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$23.09 – $29.98
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.8x
STRETCHED
vs 18.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$33.00
+5.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$28.19 / $33.05
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OSW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.95
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSW is currently trading at $31.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.09 to $29.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.8) compared to its historical average (18.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSW is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.19, while resistance sits at $33.05.
Market Sentiment: OSW scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSW is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.19, while resistance sits at $33.05.
Market Sentiment: OSW scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.09 -
$29.98
Company Quality Score
28/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$23.09 -
$29.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$28.19
Resistance Level
$33.05
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.77
Wall Street Target
$33.00
(+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.1%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 18.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.00
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$36.78
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$39.80
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$43.49
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$36.33
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$30.88
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$56.44
(+80%)
Analyst growth 59.2%, PE expands to 42.7
Base Case
$51.31
(+63%)
Market implied 59.2%, PE stable at 38.8
Bear Case
$21.91
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (OSW)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominated on StockTwits regarding $OSW, with one user predicting a 'dump'. No newsworthy articles were identified.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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