Is PAGS stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, PAGS is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of PAGS stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for PAGS to be between $9.14 and $11.07. The current price is $11.28.

What is the analyst price target for PAGS?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for PAGS is $11.68. This implies a potential upside of 3.6% from current levels.

PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PAGS - PagSeguro Digital Ltd.

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation

$11.28

-0.16 (-1.40%) ▼

5d: +1.44%

30d: +24.09%

90d: +22.61%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your PAGS Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 11, 2026 18d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 22, 2026 at $11.26 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026

Strength: 4.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PAGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 12.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$15.65

Based on 8.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$9.72

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PAGS is currently trading at $11.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.14 to $11.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.2) is in line with its historical norms (1.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.55, while resistance sits at $11.76.

Market Sentiment: PAGS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $9.14 - $11.07

Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 24.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.68)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.14 - $11.07

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.55

Resistance Level $11.76

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.17

Wall Street Target $11.68 (+3.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 10.1%

Profit Margin 10.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.3% premium

PE vs Historical 1.2 vs 1.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.65 (+3%)

2-Year Target $12.04 (+7%)

3-Year Target $12.43 (+10%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 1→1) PE COMPRESSION $11.65 (+3%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.4%) $270.92 (+2302%)

Base: (SPY PE: 1.2, Growth: 12.4%) $16.01 (+42%)

Bear: (PE: 1.0, Growth: 12.4%) $13.61 (+21%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 8.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.38

Bull Case $25.17 (+123%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 9.1

Base Case $22.88 (+103%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 8.3

Bear Case $7.78 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced PAGS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAGS price and gamma walls.

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PagSeguro Digital Ltd.

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation

About

PagSeguro Digital Ltd is a Brazilian-based company that acts as a provider of financial technology solutions focused on Micro-Merchants, Small Companies and Medium-Sized Companies (SMEs), in Brazil. The company provides a range of solutions and tools such as cash-in and cash-out options and provides access to working capital to help to manage its cash flow. It delivers an end-to-end digital ecosystem to address day-to-day financial needs, including receiving and spending funds and managing and growing businesses for clients. The company also offers the Free PagSeguro Digital Account delivering Cash-In Solutions, Online and In-Person Payment Tools, Online Payment Tools; and Web Check Outs offer tokenization, handling of shipping information, and others.

Exchange: XNYS

Market Cap: $2,874,934,708

Employees: 8,595

Listed Since: 2018-01-24

Website: Visit

CIK: 0001712807

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