PAGS
PagSeguro Digital Ltd.
Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation
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PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.94
+0.26 (+3.39%)
▲
5d:
+0.25%
30d:
-27.75%
90d:
-9.98%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 16, 2026
3d
Protect PAGS Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
67/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.04 – $11.21
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
0.9x
CHEAP
vs 1.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$9.83
+23.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$7.48 / $8.22
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: PAGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.91
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.02
1.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAGS is currently trading at $7.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.04 to $11.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.8) compared to its historical average (1.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.48, while resistance sits at $8.22. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAGS scores 95/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.83 (+23.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAGS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.48, while resistance sits at $8.22. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: PAGS scores 95/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.83 (+23.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.04 -
$11.21
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.04 -
$11.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$7.48
Resistance Level
$8.22
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAGS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (95/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($9.83)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.85
Wall Street Target
$9.83
(+23.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.9 vs 1.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.40
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$6.90
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$6.43
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$7.53
(-5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.6%)
$243.17
(+2963%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.9, Growth: 9.6%)
$10.45
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.7, Growth: 9.6%)
$8.89
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (5x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.42
Bull Case
$16.90
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 6.0
Base Case
$15.36
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case
$5.22
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.9 to 1.0
Stabilization Target:
$9.30
(+17.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PAGS)
Bullish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 26, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits with no positive news articles found for $PAGS.
Key Retail Themes:
Negative sentiment
Lack of positive news
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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