PBF
PBF ENERGY INC.
PETROLEUM REFINING
PBF ENERGY (PBF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$70.96
+1.23 (+1.76%)
▲
5d:
+3.79%
30d:
-20.72%
90d:
-1.24%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (88%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$71.67 – $85.64
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
3.7x
CHEAP
vs 10.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$84.14
+18.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$65.24 / $79.70
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PBF appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -29.9% annual earnings decline despite 764% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $74.85 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 8.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.03
Based on -12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBF is currently trading at $70.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.67 to $85.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.6) compared to its historical average (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 29.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 763.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.24, while resistance sits at $79.69.
Market Sentiment: PBF scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.14 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.24, while resistance sits at $79.69.
Market Sentiment: PBF scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.14 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$71.67 -
$85.64
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$71.67 -
$85.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$65.24
Resistance Level
$79.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.14)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.65
Wall Street Target
$84.14
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
763.7%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-29.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.7 vs 10.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-29.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.86
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$57.48
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$51.73
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→11)
$150.10
(+112%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -29.6%)
$281.23
(+296%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.7, Growth: -29.6%)
$51.73
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.1, Growth: -29.6%)
$43.97
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 2.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.81
Bull Case
$62.58
(-12%)
Analyst growth -18.4%, PE expands to 3.2
Base Case
$56.89
(-20%)
Market implied -18.4%, PE stable at 2.9
Bear Case
$47.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.7 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$205.90
(+190.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+190.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PBF)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
PBF Energy reported Q3 earnings of $12.78 per share, surpassing analyst expectations, with revenue coming in at $12.13 billion.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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