PLDT (PHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$18.49
0.40 (2.21%)
â˛
5d:
+0.49%
30d:
-5.71%
90d:
+6.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PHI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PHI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.17
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $18.49, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.22 to $19.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.9) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+42.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+42.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$18.22 -
$19.64
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.9% below Wall St target ($26.42)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.22 -
$19.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.75
Resistance Level
$18.53
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.89
Wall Street Target
$26.42
(+42.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.0%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.05
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$17.61
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$17.19
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
$18.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.0%)
$60.91
(+229%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 4.0%)
$20.79
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 4.0%)
$17.68
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.04
Bull Case
$26.19
(+42%)
Analyst growth 31.6%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$23.81
(+29%)
Market implied 31.6%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$12.30
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 7.4
Stabilization Target:
$19.87
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alfredo Santos Panlilio
SELL
4505 shares
2026-04-10
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