PLDT (PHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$17.77
0.22 (1.25%)
â˛
5d:
+3.31%
30d:
-1.66%
90d:
-1.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PHI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PHI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.85
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $17.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.41 to $18.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $17.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PHI scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+50.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $17.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PHI scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+50.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$17.41 -
$18.64
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.5% below Wall St target ($26.42)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.41 -
$18.64
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.71
Resistance Level
$17.97
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.54
Wall Street Target
$26.42
(+50.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.0%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 7.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.88
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$16.24
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$15.62
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
$17.45
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 4.0%)
$61.60
(+251%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 4.0%)
$19.74
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 4.0%)
$16.78
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.04
Bull Case
$25.76
(+47%)
Analyst growth 31.6%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$23.41
(+33%)
Market implied 31.6%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$12.10
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$19.60
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alfredo Santos Panlilio
SELL
4505 shares
2026-04-10
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