PHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$18.67
0.15 (0.81%)
▲
5d:
+3.04%
30d:
+7.73%
90d:
-10.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.50
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $18.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.56 to $18.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+41.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+41.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.56 -
$18.24
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($26.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.56 -
$18.24
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.51
Resistance Level
$18.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.95
Wall Street Target
$26.42
(+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.22
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$17.78
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$17.36
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$18.72
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.0%)
$65.77
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 4.0%)
$21.00
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 4.0%)
$17.85
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$25.56
(+37%)
Analyst growth 25.5%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$23.24
(+25%)
Market implied 25.5%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$12.59
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$20.14
(+7.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alfredo Santos Panlilio
SELL
4505 shares
2026-04-10
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