PLDT (PHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.70
-0.26 (-1.45%)
▼
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
-5.75%
90d:
-9.04%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$17.73 – $19.32
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.7x
FAIR
vs 7.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$26.53
+49.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$17.45 / $18.50
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.45
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $17.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.73 to $19.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.53 (+49.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.53 (+49.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.73 -
$19.32
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$17.73 -
$19.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$17.45
Resistance Level
$18.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.9% below Wall St target ($26.53)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.73
Wall Street Target
$26.53
(+49.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.0%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.24
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$16.79
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$16.35
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$17.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.9%)
$62.04
(+251%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 5.9%)
$21.02
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 5.9%)
$17.87
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case
$24.63
(+39%)
Analyst growth 24.7%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$22.39
(+27%)
Market implied 24.7%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case
$12.21
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$19.20
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PHI)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Oct 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on PHI are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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