PLDT (PHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$19.34
-0.01 (-0.05%)
▼
5d:
-1.98%
30d:
+10.77%
90d:
-1.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.85
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $19.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.43 to $19.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $18.24, while resistance sits at $20.27.
Market Sentiment: PHI scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+36.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $18.24, while resistance sits at $20.27.
Market Sentiment: PHI scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+36.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.43 -
$19.25
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.5% below Wall St target ($26.42)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.43 -
$19.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.24
Resistance Level
$20.27
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.21
Wall Street Target
$26.42
(+36.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.0%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.25
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$19.16
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$19.06
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$19.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.0%)
$59.97
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 4.0%)
$21.76
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 4.0%)
$18.50
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case
$28.32
(+46%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$25.74
(+33%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$13.76
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$19.60
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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