Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PNW - Pinnacle West Capital Corporation
$105.92
2.03 (1.95%)
▲
5d:
+4.27%
30d:
+15.07%
90d:
-0.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PNW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PNW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$173.05
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.45
1.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PNW is currently trading at $105.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $92.83 to $99.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PNW scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PNW scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$92.83 -
$99.71
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Protect Your Profits
PNW is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($102.93)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$92.83 -
$99.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.97
Resistance Level
$104.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.40
Wall Street Target
$102.93
(-0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.5%
Profit Margin
11.5%
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 18.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.89
(0%)
2-Year Target
$103.89
(0%)
3-Year Target
$103.89
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$103.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.7%)
$182.94
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 17.7%)
$169.50
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 17.7%)
$144.07
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.30
Bull Case
$120.58
(+16%)
Analyst growth 6.5%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$109.62
(+6%)
Market implied 6.5%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$69.97
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PNW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PNW price and gamma walls.
