Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$106.90
+0.94 (+0.89%)
â˛
5d:
+1.26%
30d:
+5.24%
90d:
+6.14%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$98.78 â $106.22
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.9x
FAIR
vs 18.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$105.70
-0.2% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$101.66 / $108.34
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PNW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.67
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PNW is currently trading at $106.90, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.78 to $106.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$98.78 -
$106.22
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$98.78 -
$106.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$101.66
Resistance Level
$108.34
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($105.70)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.85
Wall Street Target
$105.70
(-0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 18.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.81
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$107.66
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$108.52
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â18)
PE COMPRESSION
$105.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$154.16
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$146.30
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 11.4%)
$124.36
(+17%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.37
Bull Case
$121.22
(+14%)
Analyst growth 4.7%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$110.20
(+4%)
Market implied 4.7%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$71.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PNW)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) announced its plans to release third-quarter financial results on Nov. 3, 2026, and will host a webcast conference call to discuss the findings.
Key Retail Themes:
financial results
webcast conference call
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Sells
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