Porch Group (PRCH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$22.14
+0.19 (+0.87%)
▲
5d:
+2.69%
30d:
+28.57%
90d:
+30.7%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect PRCH Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
32/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$16.89 – $20.21
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
66.3x
CHEAP
vs 79.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$25.43
+14.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.74 / $22.36
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PRCH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRCH is currently trading at $22.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.89 to $20.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 66.3) compared to its historical average (79.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 155.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRCH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PRCH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.43 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRCH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PRCH scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.43 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.89 -
$20.21
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.89 -
$20.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$18.74
Resistance Level
$22.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding PRCH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.43)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
66.29
Wall Street Target
$25.43
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
155.3%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
66.3 vs 79.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.81
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$19.56
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$18.39
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 66→80)
$22.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 66.3, Growth: 130.3%)
$74.72
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 130.3%)
$22.39
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 130.3%)
$19.03
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 55.87 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.40
Bull Case
$26.73
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 58.7
Base Case
$22.14
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 55.9
Bear Case
$16.94
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 50.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 66.3 to 79.8
Stabilization Target:
$26.65
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PRCH)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on $PRCH is strong on StockTwits with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish outlook
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRCH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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