PRKS
United Parks & Resorts Inc.
SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS AMUSEMENT & RECREATION
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United Parks & Resorts (PRKS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$40.16
-1.59 (-3.81%)
▼
5d:
+6.08%
30d:
+23.68%
90d:
-10.62%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (18%)
Quality Score
21/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$30.34 – $37.80
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.4x
FAIR
vs 8.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$46.30
+15.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$30.39 / $43.84
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PRKS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.14
11.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRKS is currently trading at $40.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.34 to $37.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRKS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.39, while resistance sits at $43.84. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: PRKS scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.30 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRKS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.39, while resistance sits at $43.84. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: PRKS scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.30 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.34 -
$37.80
Company Quality Score
21/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$30.34 -
$37.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$30.39
Resistance Level
$43.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.30)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 21/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.36
Wall Street Target
$46.30
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.12
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$42.11
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$43.12
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 53.5%)
$287.62
(+616%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 53.5%)
$135.54
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 53.5%)
$115.21
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$77.28
(+92%)
Analyst growth 68.3%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$70.26
(+75%)
Market implied 68.3%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$28.39
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRKS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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