United Parks & Resorts (PRKS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRKS - United Parks & Resorts Inc.
$36.50
-1.41 (-3.72%)
▼
5d:
-10.12%
30d:
-17.53%
90d:
-21.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PRKS is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PRKS is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.20
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.72
12.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRKS is currently trading at $36.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.14 to $45.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRKS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: PRKS scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.70 (+30.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRKS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: PRKS scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.70 (+30.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$40.14 -
$45.35
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($47.70)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.14 -
$45.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.47
Resistance Level
$43.19
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.28
Wall Street Target
$47.70
(+30.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.59
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$34.70
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$33.83
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$36.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.0%)
$149.88
(+311%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 19.0%)
$61.56
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 19.0%)
$52.32
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.45
Bull Case
$75.00
(+106%)
Analyst growth 79.8%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$68.18
(+87%)
Market implied 79.8%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$25.78
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$39.21
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRKS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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