United Parks & Resorts (PRKS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRKS - United Parks & Resorts Inc.
$32.46
1.28 (4.11%)
▲
5d:
-2.38%
30d:
-20.56%
90d:
-31.21%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PRKS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PRKS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.61
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.33
29.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRKS is currently trading at $32.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.98 to $40.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRKS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.12, while resistance sits at $35.66. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: PRKS scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.30 (+45.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRKS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.12, while resistance sits at $35.66. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: PRKS scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.30 (+45.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.98 -
$40.73
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.7% below Wall St target ($47.30)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 34% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.98 -
$40.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.12
Resistance Level
$35.66
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.48
Wall Street Target
$47.30
(+45.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 8.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.67
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$28.99
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$27.39
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$32.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 24.6%)
$171.30
(+428%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 24.6%)
$62.79
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 24.6%)
$53.37
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$61.53
(+90%)
Analyst growth 79.4%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$55.93
(+72%)
Market implied 79.4%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$21.20
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$38.64
(+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRKS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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