United Parks & Resorts (PRKS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRKS - United Parks & Resorts Inc.
$30.31
-0.77 (-2.48%)
▼
5d:
-6.54%
30d:
-7.22%
90d:
-32.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PRKS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PRKS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.77
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.81
33.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRKS is currently trading at $30.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.52 to $34.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRKS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PRKS scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.80 (+51.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRKS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PRKS scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.80 (+51.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.52 -
$34.39
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.1% below Wall St target ($45.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.52 -
$34.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.64
Resistance Level
$34.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.98
Wall Street Target
$45.80
(+51.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 8.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.10
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$26.05
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$24.14
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$30.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.6%)
$166.77
(+450%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 24.6%)
$58.63
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 24.6%)
$49.83
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$57.97
(+91%)
Analyst growth 69.6%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$52.70
(+74%)
Market implied 69.6%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$21.13
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$38.20
(+26.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 2:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRKS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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