PSMT
Pricesmart Inc
RETAIL-VARIETY STORES
Pricesmart (PSMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$166.50
-0.21 (-0.13%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.79%
30d:
-3.04%
90d:
-7.41%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
0d
Protect PSMT Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$164.56 â $171.57
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
26.0x
FAIR
vs 24.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$181.50
+9.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$159.02 / $171.60
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PSMT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$252.18
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$156.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSMT is currently trading at $166.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $164.56 to $171.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.9) is in line with its historical norms (24.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSMT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $159.02, while resistance sits at $171.60.
Market Sentiment: PSMT scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSMT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $159.02, while resistance sits at $171.60.
Market Sentiment: PSMT scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$164.56 -
$171.57
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$164.56 -
$171.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$7.61
(4.6%)
Support Level
$159.02
Resistance Level
$171.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding PSMT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($181.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.95
Wall Street Target
$181.50
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
26.0 vs 24.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$169.66
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$172.89
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$176.17
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26â25)
PE COMPRESSION
$166.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.0, Growth: 16.0%)
$259.91
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.0%)
$198.88
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 16.0%)
$169.05
(+2%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.40
Bull Case
$217.85
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.8%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$198.05
(+19%)
Market implied 18.8%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$113.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PSMT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 22, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message from a user with 47k followers expresses optimism about $PSMT's performance, while there are no recent Yahoo Finance news articles.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Lack of news articles
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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