Pricesmart (PSMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSMT - Pricesmart Inc
$170.68
3.04 (1.81%)
▲
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
-0.81%
90d:
-12.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PSMT is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PSMT is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$250.12
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSMT is currently trading at $170.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.77 to $173.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.6) is in line with its historical norms (24.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSMT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $167.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSMT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $167.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$168.77 -
$173.80
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PSMT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($166.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$168.77 -
$173.80
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$167.33
Resistance Level
$176.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.61
Wall Street Target
$166.00
(-2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
26.6 vs 24.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.97
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$181.43
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$187.05
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$170.84
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.6, Growth: 16.0%)
$266.44
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.0%)
$204.29
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 16.0%)
$173.64
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.15
Bull Case
$229.70
(+35%)
Analyst growth 24.6%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$208.82
(+22%)
Market implied 24.6%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$114.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PSMT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PSMT price and gamma walls.
