PSMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSMT - Pricesmart Inc
$172.87
3.41 (2.01%)
▲
5d:
-4.08%
30d:
-7.39%
90d:
+5.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
Get Alerted When PSMT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PSMT is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: PSMT is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$242.75
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSMT is currently trading at $172.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.73 to $191.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.4) compared to its historical average (23.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $165.72, while resistance sits at $182.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSMT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $165.72, while resistance sits at $182.05.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$175.73 -
$191.03
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
17th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PSMT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 17th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($153.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$175.73 -
$191.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.55
(4.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$165.72
Resistance Level
$182.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.42
Wall Street Target
$153.33
(-9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
26.4 vs 23.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.39
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$181.53
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$187.88
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$169.99
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$260.28
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$197.75
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$168.08
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.16
Bull Case
$240.15
(+39%)
Analyst growth 24.3%, PE expands to 37.4
Base Case
$218.32
(+26%)
Market implied 24.3%, PE stable at 34.0
Bear Case
$119.41
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PSMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Discount Stores Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Discount Stores by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WMT
Walmart Inc. |
STRONG BUY
43 analysts |
$128 | 34 SELL |
|
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp |
BUY
38 analysts |
$1077 | 45 HOLD |
|
DG
Dollar General Corporati… |
HOLD
31 analysts |
$132 | 56 HOLD |
|
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc |
HOLD
27 analysts |
$130 | 54 HOLD |
|
BJ
BJs Wholesale Club Holdi… |
BUY
25 analysts |
$105 | 41 HOLD |
Advanced PSMT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PSMT price and gamma walls.
