PTLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTLO - Portillo's Inc. Class A Common Stock
$4.57
-0.05 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
+5.06%
30d:
-8.42%
90d:
-26.88%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
Get Alerted When PTLO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PTLO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PTLO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.22
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.97
34.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTLO is currently trading at $4.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.35 to $4.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.27, while resistance sits at $4.84.
Market Sentiment: PTLO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.28 (+37.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTLO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.27, while resistance sits at $4.84.
Market Sentiment: PTLO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.28 (+37.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.35 -
$4.81
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.3% below Wall St target ($6.28)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.35 -
$4.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.27
Resistance Level
$4.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.35
Wall Street Target
$6.28
(+37.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.9%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 22.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.20
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$3.87
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$3.56
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→22)
$4.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 24.1%)
$10.44
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 24.1%)
$8.74
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 24.1%)
$7.43
(+63%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$6.69
(+47%)
Analyst growth 31.7%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$6.08
(+33%)
Market implied 31.7%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$3.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 22.3
Stabilization Target:
$5.87
(+28.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PTLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Eugene I Lee Jr
BUY
286000 shares
2026-03-13
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$209 | 45 HOLD |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$44 | 50 HOLD |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$80 | 54 HOLD |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$85 | 48 HOLD |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$387 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced PTLO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PTLO price and gamma walls.
