PZZA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PZZA - Papa John's International Inc
$34.35
-2.12 (-5.81%)
▼
5d:
+5.37%
30d:
+6.22%
90d:
-0.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PZZA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PZZA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.00
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.39
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PZZA is currently trading at $34.35, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.86 to $34.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PZZA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: PZZA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.90 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PZZA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: PZZA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.90 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$31.86 -
$34.46
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.90)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -7.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.86 -
$34.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.70
Resistance Level
$35.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.62
Wall Street Target
$37.90
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.42
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$34.49
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$34.56
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$62.37
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 17.8%)
$56.18
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 17.8%)
$47.75
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$80.23
(+134%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.3
Base Case
$72.94
(+112%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.9
Bear Case
$24.80
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PZZA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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