QUAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QUAD - QUAD/GRAPHICS, INC.
$8.34
0.04 (0.48%)
▲
5d:
-3.47%
30d:
+5.3%
90d:
+6.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QUAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QUAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.23
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QUAD is currently trading at $8.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.96 to $8.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.0) is in line with its historical norms (5.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QUAD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.93 (+19.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QUAD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.93 (+19.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$7.96 -
$8.59
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
60th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 60th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($9.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.96 -
$8.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.15
(13.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.20
Resistance Level
$8.84
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.04
Wall Street Target
$9.93
(+19.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 5.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.57
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$8.86
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$9.15
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 12.6%)
$41.04
(+394%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 12.6%)
$11.84
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 12.6%)
$10.06
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$18.81
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$17.10
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$5.81
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 26, 2026 3:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QUAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced QUAD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QUAD price and gamma walls.
