QUAD/GRAPHICS (QUAD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QUAD - QUAD/GRAPHICS, INC.
$9.45
-0.04 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
+1.18%
30d:
-1.46%
90d:
+9.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QUAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QUAD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.28
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QUAD is currently trading at $9.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.25 to $9.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (5.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QUAD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QUAD scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.17 (+39.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QUAD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QUAD scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.17 (+39.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.25 -
$9.80
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
35th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 35th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.3% below Wall St target ($13.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 67/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.25 -
$9.80
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.06
(11.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.08
Resistance Level
$9.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.47
Wall Street Target
$13.17
(+39.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 5.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.81
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$10.18
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$10.57
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.5%)
$40.14
(+325%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 11.5%)
$13.08
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 11.5%)
$11.12
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.66
Bull Case
$20.88
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$18.98
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$6.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 18, 2026 1:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QUAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced QUAD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QUAD price and gamma walls.
