QUAD/GRAPHICS (QUAD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

QUAD - QUAD/GRAPHICS, INC.

COMMERCIAL PRINTING
$10.70
0.34 (3.28%) ▲
5d: +6.05%
30d: +7.11%
90d: +43.62%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QUAD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.86
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.36
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QUAD is currently trading at $10.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.90 to $10.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (5.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QUAD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.17 (+23.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $9.90 - $10.42
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 1th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($13.17)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.1% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.90 - $10.42
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.48 (4.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.94
Resistance Level $10.87
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 4, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.33
Wall Street Target $13.17 (+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.2%
Profit Margin 1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.1% premium
PE vs Historical 7.3 vs 5.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.67 (+9%)
2-Year Target $12.74 (+19%)
3-Year Target $13.89 (+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→6) PE COMPRESSION $10.62 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.5%) $40.89 (+282%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.5%) $14.81 (+38%)
Bear: (PE: 5.6, Growth: 11.5%) $11.32 (+6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.66
Bull Case $22.79 (+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case $20.72 (+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case $7.04 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 07, 2026 3:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced QUAD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QUAD price and gamma walls.

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