RBC
RBC Bearings Incorporated
BALL & ROLLER BEARINGS
RBC Bearings (RBC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$494.88
+3.96 (+0.81%)
▲
5d:
+3.74%
30d:
-2.97%
90d:
-10.71%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (87%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$477.08 – $505.54
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
35.0x
CHEAP
vs 39.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$608.11
+23.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$457.90 / $500.93
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RBC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.8% annual earnings decline despite 56% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$552.16
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$342.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RBC is currently trading at $494.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $477.08 to $505.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.0) compared to its historical average (39.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 55.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RBC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $500.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RBC scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $608.11 (+23.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RBC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $500.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RBC scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $608.11 (+23.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$477.08 -
$505.54
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$477.08 -
$505.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$18.71
(3.8%)
Support Level
$457.90
Resistance Level
$500.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($608.11)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 71/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.04
Wall Street Target
$608.11
(+23.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.8%
Profit Margin
17.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.0 vs 39.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$472.26
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$454.31
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$437.05
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→39)
$490.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.0, Growth: 15.2%)
$750.52
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.2%)
$425.43
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 15.2%)
$361.62
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.18
Bull Case
$676.68
(+38%)
Analyst growth 25.3%, PE expands to 48.3
Base Case
$615.17
(+25%)
Market implied 25.3%, PE stable at 43.9
Bear Case
$333.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.0 to 39.3
Stabilization Target:
$550.66
(+12.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.2%
Share RBC Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RBC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
RBC reported stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings with an adjusted EPS of $3.74 and revenue of $525M, surpassing analyst estimates of $3.53 and $514M respectively.
Key Retail Themes:
Q3 earnings report
Beat on both EPS and revenue
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RBC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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