Radware (RDWR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RDWR - Radware Ltd.
$30.70
0.58 (1.93%)
▲
5d:
+3.86%
30d:
+10.43%
90d:
+1.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RDWR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RDWR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.59
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RDWR is currently trading at $30.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.21 to $29.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RDWR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $30.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RDWR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $30.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.21 -
$29.97
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RDWR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 10.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.21 -
$29.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.92
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.50
Resistance Level
$30.76
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.52
Wall Street Target
$30.50
(-0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-55.1%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.53
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$32.38
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$33.25
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.72
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 12.0%)
$43.19
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.0%)
$39.12
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 12.0%)
$33.26
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.15
Bull Case
$37.07
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$30.70
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$23.49
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RDWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced RDWR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RDWR price and gamma walls.
