RELY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RELY - Remitly Global, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$19.73
-0.34 (-1.69%) ▼
5d: -1.94%
30d: -17.03%
90d: +13.59%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RELY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.33
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.80
17.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RELY is currently trading at $19.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.56 to $23.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 360.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RELY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.56 (+44.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $20.56 - $23.42
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 44.7% below Wall St target ($28.56)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $20.56 - $23.42
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.84
Resistance Level $21.76
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.96
Wall Street Target $28.56 (+44.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 360.0%
Profit Margin 6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.0 vs 13.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.16 (-3%)
2-Year Target $18.60 (-6%)
3-Year Target $18.06 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→13) $19.78 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 20.6%) $63.37 (+221%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 20.6%) $34.60 (+75%)
Bear: (PE: 10.2, Growth: 20.6%) $29.41 (+49%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case $44.62 (+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.5
Base Case $40.56 (+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.3
Bear Case $13.79 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 13.1
Stabilization Target: $21.61 (+9.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.5%
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Phillip John Riese SELL 40000 shares 2026-04-17
Pankaj Sharma SELL 10000 shares 2026-04-17
Joshua Hug SELL 12000 shares 2026-04-14

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RELY price and gamma walls.

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