RLI (RLI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$67.91
-0.96 (-1.39%)
▼
5d:
-1.45%
30d:
+18.93%
90d:
+6.13%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$58.09 – $67.58
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.9x
STRETCHED
vs 21.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$58.25
-15.4% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$63.24 / $71.90
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RLI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When RLI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.45
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RLI is currently trading at $67.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.09 to $67.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.9) compared to its historical average (21.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RLI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.24, while resistance sits at $71.89.
Market Sentiment: RLI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $58.25. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RLI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $63.24, while resistance sits at $71.89.
Market Sentiment: RLI scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $58.25. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$58.09 -
$67.58
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$58.09 -
$67.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$63.24
Resistance Level
$71.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 15.4% above Wall St target ($58.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with -6.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.90
Wall Street Target
$58.25
(-15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.8%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 21.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.86
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$77.09
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$81.56
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.80
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: -14.0%)
$50.21
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -14.0%)
$40.05
(-42%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -14.0%)
$34.04
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.25
Bull Case
$48.65
(-29%)
Analyst growth -34.9%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$44.23
(-36%)
Market implied -34.9%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$46.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share RLI Analysis
Share this live RLI analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RLI)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 21, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user expresses optimism about $RLI's earnings and upcoming special dividend, despite a price decline in 2025. No recent news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive sentiment towards $RLI's earnings and special dividend
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is RLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Property & Casualty by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TRV
The Travelers Companies … |
SELL
29 analysts |
$377 | 55 HOLD |
|
ALL
The Allstate Corporation |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$275 | 47 HOLD |
|
CB
Chubb Ltd |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$373 | 47 HOLD |
|
PGR
Progressive Corp |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$232 | 39 SELL |
|
HIG
Hartford Financial Servi… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$144 | 46 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive RLI Research Pages
