Is SCCO stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SCCO is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: SCCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of SCCO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SCCO to be between $195.60 and $206.03. The current price is $198.07.

What is the analyst price target for SCCO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SCCO is $178.68. This implies a potential upside of -9.8% from current levels.

Southern Copper (SCCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SCCO - Southern Copper Corporation

METAL MINING

$198.07

-4.27 (-2.11%) ▼

5d: -1.3%

30d: -3.91%

90d: +8.7%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your SCCO Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 27, 2026 4d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 19, 2026 at $201.78 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026

Strength: 4.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -4.2%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$188.56

Based on -0.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$117.08

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SCCO is currently trading at $198.07, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $195.60 to $206.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.1) is in line with its historical norms (28.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $190.69, while resistance sits at $210.38.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $195.60 - $206.03

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($178.68)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $195.60 - $206.03

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $190.69

Resistance Level $210.38

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.07

Wall Street Target $178.68 (-9.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 40.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 71.6%

Profit Margin 35.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 26.1 vs 28.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $192.13 (-3%)

2-Year Target $186.36 (-6%)

3-Year Target $180.77 (-9%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→29) $197.59 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 26.1, Growth: -4.2%) $174.36 (+-12%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.2%) $132.80 (-33%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -4.2%) $112.88 (-43%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 30.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.70

Bull Case $252.35 (+27%)

Analyst growth 13.4%, PE expands to 33.2

Base Case $229.41 (+16%)

Market implied 13.4%, PE stable at 30.2

Bear Case $137.59 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.1 to 28.5

Stabilization Target: $216.49 (+9.3%)

PE Expansion Potential: +9.3%

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced SCCO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCCO price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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