Southern Copper (SCCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$170.36
-5.66 (-3.22%)
▼
5d:
-1.8%
30d:
-18.37%
90d:
-12.59%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (85%)
Quality Score
65/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$177.69 – $204.54
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.5x
CHEAP
vs 28.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$177.66
+4.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$162.19 / $194.09
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SCCO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.3% annual earnings decline despite 63% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.22
Based on -0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCCO is currently trading at $170.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $177.69 to $204.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.5) compared to its historical average (28.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $162.19, while resistance sits at $194.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCCO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $162.19, while resistance sits at $194.09. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCCO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$177.69 -
$204.54
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$177.69 -
$204.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.94
(7.0%)
Support Level
$162.19
Resistance Level
$194.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($177.66)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.54
Wall Street Target
$177.66
(+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.7%
Profit Margin
37.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 28.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$157.92
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$146.40
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$135.71
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→28)
$170.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: -4.7%)
$147.63
(+-13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.7%)
$130.07
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -4.7%)
$110.56
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.51
Bull Case
$194.85
(+14%)
Analyst growth 0.6%, PE expands to 25.8
Base Case
$177.14
(+4%)
Market implied 0.6%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$119.69
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.5 to 28.3
Stabilization Target:
$213.88
(+25.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SCCO)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 21, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
One bullish StockTwits message predicts $SCCO will trade above $200 soon.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish price prediction
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SCCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCCO price and gamma walls.
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