Southern Copper (SCCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCCO - Southern Copper Corporation
$199.22
-3.42 (-1.69%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.17%
30d:
-1.19%
90d:
+15.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SCCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SCCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$174.69
Based on -0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCCO is currently trading at $199.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $194.57 to $210.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.4) is in line with its historical norms (28.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $193.00, while resistance sits at $211.07.
Market Sentiment: SCCO scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $171.44. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $193.00, while resistance sits at $211.07.
Market Sentiment: SCCO scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $171.44. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$194.57 -
$210.71
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SCCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.9% above Wall St target ($171.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$194.57 -
$210.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$193.00
Resistance Level
$211.08
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.38
Wall Street Target
$171.44
(-13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.6%
Profit Margin
35.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.4 vs 28.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$196.23
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$193.29
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$190.39
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27â29)
$198.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.4, Growth: -5.5%)
$167.99
(+-16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -5.5%)
$125.17
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -5.5%)
$106.40
(-47%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.67
Bull Case
$243.17
(+22%)
Analyst growth 9.1%, PE expands to 33.4
Base Case
$221.06
(+11%)
Market implied 9.1%, PE stable at 30.4
Bear Case
$137.80
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.4 to 28.6
Stabilization Target:
$208.11
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SCCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCCO price and gamma walls.
