SCCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCCO - Southern Copper Corporation
$182.71
-2.29 (-1.24%)
▼
5d:
+1.91%
30d:
+8.24%
90d:
+6.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SCCO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.2% annual earnings decline despite 73% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SCCO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.2% annual earnings decline despite 73% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$167.50
Based on -1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCCO is currently trading at $182.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $170.09 to $183.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.3) compared to its historical average (28.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $171.00, while resistance sits at $196.43.
Market Sentiment: SCCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $171.00, while resistance sits at $196.43.
Market Sentiment: SCCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$170.09 -
$183.44
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($168.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$170.09 -
$183.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$171.00
Resistance Level
$196.43
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.32
Wall Street Target
$168.25
(-7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
40.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.4%
Profit Margin
35.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.3 vs 28.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.04
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$167.68
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$160.64
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→29)
$182.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.3, Growth: -6.8%)
$147.82
(+-19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -6.8%)
$121.03
(-34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -6.8%)
$102.88
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.14
Bull Case
$205.68
(+13%)
Analyst growth 1.1%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$186.98
(+2%)
Market implied 1.1%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case
$125.80
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.3 to 28.8
Stabilization Target:
$207.84
(+13.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bonilla Luis Miguel Palo…
SELL
193 shares
2026-03-13
Bonilla Luis Miguel Palo…
SELL
7 shares
2026-03-12
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Advanced SCCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCCO price and gamma walls.
